CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0bca1aab5c94c69ab5c523a0f62eb2b9b42b0451812ee5967c50fe246cdc9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf424…9723backed SPARTA | 78c | 2,024$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.88 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked SPARTA | 57c | 1,750$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Atreides | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Atreides | 47c | 458.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Atreides | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Atreides | 56c | 288.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 66c | 285.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed SPARTA | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 43c | 221.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed Atreides | 61c | 206.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed SPARTA | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Atreides | 20c | 187.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Atreides | 43c | 186.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Atreides | 44c | 146.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Atreides | 28c | 124.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Atreides | 45c | 65.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Atreides | 27c | 64.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Atreides | 44c | 59.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed SPARTA | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA | 49c | 42.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed SPARTA | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed SPARTA | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SPARTA | 44c | 36.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…2c93backed SPARTA | 58c | 34.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed SPARTA | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked SPARTA | 46c | 32.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Atreides | 48c | 32.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked SPARTA | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Atreides | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed SPARTA | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SPARTA | 57c | 18.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.