TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SPARTAof SPARTA, Atreides
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed Atreides42c3,500$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked SPARTA54c3,310$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.581,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked SPARTA52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9943951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked SPARTA64c2,883$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.4734559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Atreides46c2,663$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.8316245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked SPARTA58c1,866$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.2119546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed SPARTA53c1,848$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.4618356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SPARTA71c1,751$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.51,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Atreides47c1,703$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.8616351.5%84 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed SPARTA53c1,654$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.8314763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed SPARTA53c1,554$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.8224551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Atreides27c1,511$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.6121135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Atreides47c1,201$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7346447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Atreides48c1,184$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.57742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Atreides48c1,003$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.7449935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Atreides33c851.36$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.22,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Atreides46c835$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.18958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Atreides28c829.08$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.14,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atreides23c789.86$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.922,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Atreides25c784.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed SPARTA59c756.73$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.2145465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Atreides47c723.9$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2491945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Atreides48c638.22$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Atreides43c609.94$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.498758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Atreides48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28819840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Atreides47c550.02$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6448240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Atreides47c523.58$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.088540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Atreides40c517.42$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.825,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Atreides43c466.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed SPARTA61c466.26$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3639038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa885…43e3backed Atreides18c464.79$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.771136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Atreides21c449.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.854,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…8588backed SPARTA56c414.68$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.665655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Atreides21c413.12$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.462,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Atreides21c406.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.840542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Atreides46c399.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9911444.7%51 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Atreides35c397.8$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.231,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atreides29c378.55$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.863,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Atreides12c330$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.637440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Atreides46c324.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Atreides45c319.6$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2917142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Atreides45c316.52$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.081,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed SPARTA52c310$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.842757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed SPARTA58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Atreides29c291.9$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.917449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked SPARTA60c286.92$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5627552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed SPARTA53c282.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.111,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked SPARTA54c279.98$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7915455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed Atreides44c273.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.35540%22 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed SPARTA57c268.49$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4535861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Atreides37c252.07$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2440639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Atreides40c236.4$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5622729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Atreides47c234.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2135947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0201backed SPARTA52c230.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.157245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Atreides48c229.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7de0…7429backed Atreides45c220.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010556.2%59 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11a…21c0backed Atreides47c217.02$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Atreides40c205.69$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5738739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed Atreides46c205.04$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.326350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked SPARTA55c204.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8930450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Atreides44c203$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.295642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked Atreides40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed SPARTA59c185.83$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8516036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed Atreides19c179.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA72c178.29$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.64,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides36c175.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.343,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked SPARTA65c166.67$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.338267.1%55 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Atreides29c158.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.122,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA53c158$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.264,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atreides26c143.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.842,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked Atreides43c141.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf120…ce3cbacked SPARTA60c135$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549145.1%41 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Atreides33c134$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Atreides44c129.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.21,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2455…7559backed Atreides23c129.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Atreides29c128.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2721146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked SPARTA78c127.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3562738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed Atreides48c120.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.78250%41 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Atreides47c110.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0423732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0153…bad3backed SPARTA69c105$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.054055%22 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked SPARTA59c101.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7330545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Atreides33c101$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3391743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed SPARTA55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.664058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked SPARTA58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4222954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Atreides47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed SPARTA55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4536057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed SPARTA60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed SPARTA53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3477351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed Atreides28c93.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Atreides38c90.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.181,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46de…84eabacked SPARTA60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed Atreides45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613839.9%55 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32a8…3fb6backed SPARTA70c75.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.572352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked SPARTA73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed Atreides19c68.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Atreides42c68.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Atreides42c67.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3344552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed SPARTA52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.727949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked SPARTA58c60.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.269366.7%62 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked SPARTA54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.665548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.