TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32a8…3fb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$27.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+136.8%+$204.37
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.04
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Cbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$19.51
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$22.57
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.01
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$16.52
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.81
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.72
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.04
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Bbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$13.63
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$23.68
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.56
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$177.19
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$13.99
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.96
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$7.35
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$99.8
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+119%+$61.39
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Arthur Fery vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$201.09
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.91
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.