TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof Astralis, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$631,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$659,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,058 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 604 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked 9z41c115,698$47,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,884.1742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Astralis67c75,000$50,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,249.9722354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Astralis59c50,000$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,50023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed Astralis60c48,378$28,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,793.081963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 9z40c39,428$15,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,504.3376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed 9z33c33,626$11,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,529.2125355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked 9z40c29,898$11,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,037.5775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis59c25,000$14,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,75050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked 9z63c19,462$12,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,182.3522129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Astralis60c15,094$9,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,05010361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Astralis60c13,333$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Astralis46c12,000$5,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,532.4636453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked 9z41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,90027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 9z41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.9475450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Astralis1c9,085$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8513315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Astralis57c8,437$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,843.566259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Astralis58c7,715$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 9z52c7,603$3,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,665.5241040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed 9z48c7,055$3,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.9537157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Astralis58c7,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,059.984544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked 9z43c6,977$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.7425751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Astralis58c6,897$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed Astralis58c6,500$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,77012660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed 9z43c6,285$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,602.27157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Astralis57c6,005$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.853262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Astralis58c5,043$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.3632542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 9z38c4,762$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.21,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed 9z43c4,041$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.4323848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 9z40c3,607$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.4866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 9z35c3,487$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.621,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 9z41c3,453$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.51,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Astralis44c3,261$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.5587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Astralis62c3,241$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed 9z48c3,082$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.3315155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed 9z42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7409551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked 9z41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.9817540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Astralis33c2,997$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 9z50c2,980$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.021,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Astralis43c2,967$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.172,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9z42c2,961$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.541,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf061…a9aabacked Astralis58c2,789$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.4860%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Astralis2c2,525$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis36c2,504$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.071,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Astralis39c2,475$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.538038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Astralis60c2,434$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4499646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Astralis57c2,406$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.2513947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z40c2,345$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed 9z37c2,304$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.7838868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 9z37c2,145$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.451,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Astralis58c2,081$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.8822449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis8c2,003$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.135,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Astralis58c2,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked 9z57c2,000$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.996266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed 9z41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed 9z40c1,853$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.88256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked 9z42c1,842$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.117849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked 9z41c1,780$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.1910136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 9z43c1,744$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.0860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Astralis44c1,705$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Astralis58c1,702$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9879254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a4…3ca7backed Astralis61c1,700$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0293237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed 9z41c1,700$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.996545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis38c1,699$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.5388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Astralis59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Astralis59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Astralis60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z42c1,650$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Astralis35c1,600$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Astralis58c1,600$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.9751252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe584…9bb3backed 9z41c1,591$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.781957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Astralis45c1,543$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70235460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked 9z43c1,526$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.8735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9302,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis4c1,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5569624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis34c1,500$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.792,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…39ebbacked Astralis59c1,455$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8622842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Astralis69c1,408$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.5211149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed 9z72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.159250%46 W · 46 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50b…672dbacked 9z72c1,360$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Astralis60c1,310$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78612252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…69b3backed 9z39c1,273$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.56656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis43c1,271$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.66,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed 9z39c1,254$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.381,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked 9z51c1,250$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.543951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Astralis61c1,226$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.1626549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Astralis44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9832346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked Astralis42c1,187$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50110337.9%39 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Astralis58c1,166$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.1938454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed 9z52c1,151$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.253842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Astralis20c1,150$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307941.8%33 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Astralis34c1,101$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8419659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Astralis58c1,088$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.055255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Astralis16c1,050$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2351942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Astralis38c1,048$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed 9z57c1,046$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.91,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5240…f84ebacked 9z74c1,036$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.461050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed Astralis60c1,033$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6209256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked 9z43c1,019$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.917047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed 9z50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.