TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Misa Esportsof Oxuji Esports, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports30c6,217$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.032,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Misa Esports30c4,961$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.835,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Oxuji Esports70c3,086$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.086243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed Oxuji Esports70c2,147$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Oxuji Esports70c1,400$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.3757641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oxuji Esports36c1,247$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.327,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Oxuji Esports70c1,154$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.955257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports68c1,065$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.92,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Misa Esports31c947.57$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.822,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Misa Esports31c850$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports68c817.49$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.292,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Misa Esports31c790.94$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.991,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Oxuji Esports36c754.63$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.665,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Oxuji Esports69c695$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.557940.5%32 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Oxuji Esports61c691.42$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.464,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Oxuji Esports71c638.03$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4533050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports60c587.99$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.375,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Oxuji Esports36c587.88$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.716,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Oxuji Esports69c536.16$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.956536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Oxuji Esports23c534.85$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.224,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2776…2886backed Misa Esports30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+132.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Misa Esports30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35020750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbc4…a430backed Misa Esports30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick39cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Oxuji Esports53c494.51$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.654743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Oxuji Esports51c494.16$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4735861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports56c482$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.952,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Oxuji Esports69c473.81$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3262657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Misa Esports72c438$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7478043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Oxuji Esports69c433.62$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.228440.5%115 W · 169 L-17.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd2…5bf0backed Oxuji Esports69c418.26$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Oxuji Esports71c406.3$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9527954.1%151 W · 128 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Oxuji Esports7c400.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3730859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Misa Esports32c370$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.626155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Oxuji Esports68c368$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.76445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports36c358.24$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.082,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oxuji Esports29c336.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.225,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b50…b417backed Oxuji Esports66c309.09$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50fb…60cbbacked Oxuji Esports27c308.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.312634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed Misa Esports30c303.51$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4312049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Oxuji Esports37c300.77$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0427544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Oxuji Esports25c300.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.221,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Misa Esports32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20422751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Misa Esports30c292.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7550456.5%285 W · 219 L+17.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed Oxuji Esports69c259.6$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.128250%41 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Oxuji Esports67c242.09$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.24841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Oxuji Esports71c234.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…73bfbacked Oxuji Esports37c231.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Misa Esports30c230.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.051,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Oxuji Esports10c223$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.941,08731.9%347 W · 740 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed Oxuji Esports47c208.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.187349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Oxuji Esports49c204.06$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10114939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e99…0a26backed Oxuji Esports32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647643.4%33 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Misa Esports64c197.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Oxuji Esports30c195$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.529440.5%119 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Oxuji Esports43c189.74$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.183,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Oxuji Esports66c181$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8359445.8%272 W · 322 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Misa Esports29c176.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9577351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports49c162$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.323,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x818c…2911backed Oxuji Esports69c157.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.99540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Misa Esports30c143.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1816346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Misa Esports30c143$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.174754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Oxuji Esports49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Oxuji Esports67c142.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9628052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341c…f86fbacked Oxuji Esports70c141.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked Oxuji Esports70c140.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0913350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf868…3b45backed Oxuji Esports31c139$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0911841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked Misa Esports78c127.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4214543.4%63 W · 82 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e38…b4cbbacked Oxuji Esports39c126.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.696752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Oxuji Esports54c125.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6838049.5%188 W · 192 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports58c118.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.182,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Oxuji Esports69c116.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.446744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc8…09e5backed Oxuji Esports54c110.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b56…1baabacked Oxuji Esports14c108$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9950%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Misa Esports28c106.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.591,08737.5%408 W · 679 L+33.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Oxuji Esports71c105.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7544675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed Oxuji Esports47c102.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.537152.1%37 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Oxuji Esports42c100.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.534450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fab…f47bbacked Misa Esports19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Misa Esports66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Oxuji Esports35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Misa Esports73c89.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.591,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8407…4589backed Oxuji Esports69c88.42$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.012133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Oxuji Esports70c87.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.184438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Misa Esports29c85.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7530545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports75c83.23$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.782,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports71c79.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.853,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf099…d75cbacked Misa Esports63c78.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Oxuji Esports69c76.31$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.711266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Misa Esports51c70.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8919231.3%60 W · 132 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Oxuji Esports36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Oxuji Esports72c69.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013258.3%77 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd3…c376backed Misa Esports61c63.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Misa Esports30c60.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Oxuji Esports69c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.67443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Oxuji Esports73c58.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8916750.9%85 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Misa Esports30c58.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1659049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Oxuji Esports73c58.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.332,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed Oxuji Esports36c52.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oxuji Esports70c52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.638037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Misa Esports32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3433348.9%163 W · 170 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.