CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43edb614292634fbb75b201f30167b1faca76afe6208afce2e73c2208d4f97d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Oxuji Esports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 3,051$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Oxuji Esports | 43c | 3,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Misa Esports | 58c | 536.3$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Oxuji Esports | 44c | 445.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Misa Esports | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Oxuji Esports | 42c | 335.43$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Oxuji Esports | 43c | 170.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Misa Esports | 57c | 139.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Oxuji Esports | 43c | 128.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Oxuji Esports | 45c | 109.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Oxuji Esports | 37c | 105.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…e759backed Oxuji Esports | 43c | 100.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Misa Esports | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Misa Esports | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Misa Esports | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Misa Esports | 59c | 42.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Oxuji Esports | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Oxuji Esports | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Misa Esports | 57c | 21.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group BMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.