CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x786ff82eeeb55652f433e1935d9ef77b2db653b00797f368234069ca67bb0437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Oxuji Esports, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…e804backed Oxuji Esports | 17c | 1,667$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oxuji Esports | 34c | 1,215$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Oxuji Esports | 18c | 1,149$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 70c | 584.68$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Oxuji Esports | 46c | 520$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Misa Esports | 66c | 516.5$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Oxuji Esports | 10c | 512.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Oxuji Esports | 18c | 500.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Oxuji Esports | 28c | 496.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Oxuji Esports | 10c | 440$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Oxuji Esports | 37c | 413$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.18 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 61c | 325.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 57c | 317$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 49c | 254.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Misa Esports | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Oxuji Esports | 31c | 245.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Oxuji Esports | 23c | 233$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Oxuji Esports | 32c | 229.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Misa Esports | 76c | 226.6$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Oxuji Esports | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Oxuji Esports | 9c | 197.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 185.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…e54abacked Misa Esports | 69c | 170.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Oxuji Esports | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Oxuji Esports | 30c | 155$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Oxuji Esports | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 147$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Oxuji Esports | 35c | 125.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Misa Esports | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Oxuji Esports | 30c | 119.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Oxuji Esports | 40c | 114.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Oxuji Esports | 32c | 114.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…60cbbacked Oxuji Esports | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…1baabacked Oxuji Esports | 16c | 93.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Oxuji Esports | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Oxuji Esports | 29c | 75.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports | 68c | 71.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…d75cbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 52.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Misa Esports | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Misa Esports | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Misa Esports | 70c | 41.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Oxuji Esports | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Misa Esports | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group BMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.