TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbd3…c376

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$5.08
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.22
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.62
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$24.05
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$27.3
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.98
France vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$63.6
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.43
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$26.45
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$44.29
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$5.51
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$16.39
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked RED Canids Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$45.87
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs ENRAGE (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked RoundsGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$9.22
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Bbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63%+$24.57
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.87
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$16.76
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$7.21
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$15.65
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$5.82
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$5.56
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$5.74
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.26
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$19.08
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$15.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevicbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$11.42
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.57
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.54
Birmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.45
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.35
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecaibacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$23.28
Prostejov: Yosuke Watanuki vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Yosuke Watanuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.31
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$23.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$23.58
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$30.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.55
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+78.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.