TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$304,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No40c57,347$23,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,011.518440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes62c24,411$15,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,363.324353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No10c19,548$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No41c11,038$4,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,538.3242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes77c10,351$7,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.8121048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No30c10,131$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes58c9,107$5,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.181,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes58c9,055$5,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.6935549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No43c8,949$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,83010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes59c6,737$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.2917748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes80c5,771$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.4327327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed No23c4,312$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.498528.2%24 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.6341451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes61c3,680$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.221,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes54c3,591$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.0122639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes63c3,562$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.142,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked Yes61c3,122$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.368048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x171c…867cbacked Yes60c3,122$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No32c2,984$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62cd…02babacked No37c2,647$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.393638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Yes58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.214450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed No40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked No43c2,340$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.212248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes59c2,073$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed No46c1,957$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No16c1,883$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No5c1,796$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3817513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c1,773$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes60c1,721$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.3112325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c1,654$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7330117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed No43c1,628$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked No40c1,483$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c1,421$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…ccddbacked No11c1,304$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.421752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No22c1,300$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.721,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No18c1,246$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4774034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes62c1,226$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.0120560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed No44c1,221$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.021250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes72c1,202$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8341968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes59c1,120$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.2224448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No32c1,056$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7515932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3702458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Yes55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45016152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes58c990$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.685563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes58c979.04$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes58c961.41$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.796839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Yes62c948.79$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1516831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes58c893.48$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.511,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f6…1a99backed Yes58c839.99$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.85937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No40c833.23$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2943635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes80c829.92$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7929463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked No40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No7c759.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6648438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504257.1%24 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Yes79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No39c688.26$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4247235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No7c681$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4311238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes58c640.64$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0751228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No42c621.69$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1123949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes64c610.12$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1223951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes58c586$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1212825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No41c528.97$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8810335%36 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes80c525$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10536349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed No41c511$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20716425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010748.6%52 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Yes59c499.98$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9913850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Yes59c483.05$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.053633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes58c470$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.44327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Yes58c458.62$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.628158%47 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No37c431.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.523255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7312140.5%49 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No8c422.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.572247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa3…4899backed Yes61c419.68$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked No41c404.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0725031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8182…b13cbacked Yes62c400.14$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9411761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe032…410ebacked Yes79c399.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+135%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No23c390.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.422,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes61c387.01$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.862,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes65c375.47$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.092,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No19c371.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4847744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes58c370.97$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.551,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No14c359.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No38c354.21$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.61,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No9c348.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8139039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes58c336.63$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.381,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Yes60c331.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.143240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No9c331$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.631,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes58c324.6$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6818764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes60c320.46$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.663035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No40c319.14$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4615654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed No43c313.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked Yes63c310$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.77762.3%48 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc840…16d6backed No42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c269.92$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.751,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.