Fifa International · resolved market
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27dd9e8a922e1dc7985ae9393956fa40790da99e7a5b27d57f0499a6b346760c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Yes | 0c | 21,840$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 7,873$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 1c | 5,213$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 4,005$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.16 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 3,422$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.21 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…c167backed Yes | 24c | 2,625$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 15c | 2,460$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.46 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 76c | 2,430$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.69 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…e8d4backed Yes | 4c | 1,906$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 15c | 1,325$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 23c | 1,322$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 77c | 1,283$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.12 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 1,234$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.85 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 1,037$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 12c | 866.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 10c | 714.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Yes | 28c | 704.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 77c | 649$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 23c | 644.48$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 77c | 617.67$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.74 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 600$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…1e44backed Yes | 20c | 590.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked No | 77c | 569.98$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 77c | 488.35$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 424.34$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 77c | 378.11$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 23c | 360$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 358.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 77c | 347.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 74c | 346.44$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…5f0ebacked Yes | 18c | 334.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 20c | 330.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 76c | 317.46$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…398ebacked Yes | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…c228backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 17c | 216.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Yes | 24c | 183.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 32.3%42 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 24c | 167$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 28c | 150.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 23c | 145$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaf…66b1backed Yes | 23c | 126.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 122.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 76c | 119$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…a723backed Yes | 23c | 112.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 26c | 112.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 94.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…41a6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe599…1329backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…53b8backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed No | 78c | 60.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Yes | 20c | 57.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…b1e2backed Yes | 22c | 52.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…c0dfbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 77c | 45.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…8ee5backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…526cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 78c | 38.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 77c | 36.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 32.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 77c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…3288backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 73c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 79c | 21.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 19.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 77c | 18.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw?this page
- Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
- Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.