CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd86dcae12398ec262a7bd19c5894598cf34be481bb8d466a30d91d561eb524c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Donstu Esports, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Donstu Esports | 60c | 624.52$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 550$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 533.1$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed Donstu Esports | 58c | 431.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…668abacked Donstu Esports | 69c | 285.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 276.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.09 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 250.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 213.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 162.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.35 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 159.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 156.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…c95fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 151.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 143.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 143.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 136.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Donstu Esports | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Donstu Esports | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 93.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 92.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 87.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…1c2fbacked Donstu Esports | 67c | 84.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fire Flux Esports | 19c | 80.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…0a43backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 74.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…d26abacked Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 69.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 61.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…d406backed Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 59.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…c376backed Donstu Esports | 78c | 45.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Donstu Esports | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 38.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 25.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Donstu Esports | 63c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…fa0dbacked Donstu Esports | 62c | 24.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 23.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…1b5bbacked Donstu Esports | 64c | 16.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…ad52backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 16.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Donstu Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.