Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf481c843b6d6a565556cb278f81915b7f5b8b4db12588bde501ab89a2c6b6eaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pipsqueak+4of Pipsqueak+4, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 13,546$7,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,325.69 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 8,925$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.79 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.98 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 5,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 3,755$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.09 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 3,750$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.33 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 3,561$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.41 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,428$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.18 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 3,422$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,300$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.89 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 3,065$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.61 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 2,494$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.46 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…8496backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,445$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,235$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.21 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…d4adbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,178$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 2,011$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.02 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,000$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.73 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,950$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 72c | 1,727$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,700$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,526$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,488$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.17 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…b714backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 1,346$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.58 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 1,321$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.75 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 1,288$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.15 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 1,259$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.18 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,250$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 1,239$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.37 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…0f5dbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,213$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,203$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 1,107$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.91 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…ff78backed Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 1,025$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,012$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 882.92$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.46 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 867.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.04 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 856.9$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.72 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 814.01$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.29 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 801.41$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 750.31$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.66 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 730$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.7 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 714.39$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.39 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 713.14$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 712.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 80c | 690.99$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 689.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 667.51$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.66 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 653.38$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.35 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 619.31$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.59 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…b742backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 589.92$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 577.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 571.94$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.1 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 567.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 76c | 558.33$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 546.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 545.02$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 542.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 541.41$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 539.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 532.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.08 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 25c | 510.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.13 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 503.86$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.39 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 502.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 499.97$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.98 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Pipsqueak+4 | 28c | 498.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.62 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 486.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Pipsqueak+4 | 25c | 484$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 475.24$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 446.51$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 49c | 444.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 439.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 424.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.01 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 420$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 60c | 417.32$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.66 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 410.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.23 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…cd44backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 406.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 400$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 384.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.36 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 383.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.23 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 381.16$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 381.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 376.78$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…123cbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 342.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 337.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 330.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 325.23$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 315.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 309.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.69 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 304.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 33c | 297.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 296.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 289.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.