Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b12be34af67efb62bd45fa09e819ac27c82e6e26a4ec1f4464c85c184955ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Pipsqueak+4, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Pipsqueak+4 | 34c | 2,939$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 2,223$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.48 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,920$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.97 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 36c | 1,855$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.45 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,761$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.11 | 801 | 59.1%473 W · 328 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 1,528$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.53 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 1,172$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 13c | 1,154$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 969.99$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.7 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 832.94$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.2 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 799.96$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.98 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 797.39$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 709.07$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.96 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 646.57$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.56 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 625$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.5 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 6c | 599.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 581.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.87 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 572.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.14 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 538.56$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Pipsqueak+4 | 18c | 506.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 495$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 472.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 33c | 469.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 422.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.34 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 420$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.92 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 418.08$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…0bf2backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 390$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 32c | 389.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 349.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 342.1$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 33c | 333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…b742backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 316.68$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…9b0ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 307.56$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 542 | 59%320 W · 222 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 289.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 288.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 276.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Pipsqueak+4 | 33c | 258.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 253$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 248.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 247$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 240.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Pipsqueak+4 | 32c | 216.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 212$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 210.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 208.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 201.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 185.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 461 | 49.7%229 W · 232 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 173.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 169.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 168.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…7fc0backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 166.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 166.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 1,461 | 48.5%709 W · 752 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 163.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 1,707 | 41.2%704 W · 1,003 L | -43.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 32c | 157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 149.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…ea3ebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 148.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 141.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 548 | 48.5%266 W · 282 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 13c | 133$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Pipsqueak+4 | 13c | 133$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 131.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 1,263 | 49.6%627 W · 636 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 130.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 128.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 120.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 116$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 114.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 111.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Pipsqueak+4 | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 95.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 87.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 84.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…7518backed Pipsqueak+4 | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…baa3backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 74.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 74.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 73.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 72.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 61.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…e6cebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 50.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.