TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro Riedi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mark Lajalof Mark Lajal, Leandro Riedi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Leandro Riedi12c15,935$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.888,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Mark Lajal37c11,562$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,301.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Mark Lajal33c5,168$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.69355.9%52 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Leandro Riedi52c3,119$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.48,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Mark Lajal61c3,033$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.0541645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Leandro Riedi66c2,016$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.758745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Leandro Riedi66c2,000$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.3357842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Leandro Riedi65c1,988$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.882,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Leandro Riedi30c1,631$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2927446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Mark Lajal32c1,609$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.4172452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Leandro Riedi35c1,559$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mark Lajal64c1,503$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.914,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Mark Lajal35c1,409$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.6727151.3%139 W · 132 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Mark Lajal32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.9933438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Leandro Riedi29c1,159$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.334,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Leandro Riedi62c1,111$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.8814657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Leandro Riedi64c1,017$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.783,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Leandro Riedi65c1,008$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.9745744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1aa…9359backed Mark Lajal60c1,008$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2420535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked Mark Lajal35c999.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Leandro Riedi67c971.18$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6467256.9%41 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Leandro Riedi64c963.57$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.1247252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Leandro Riedi64c937.5$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Leandro Riedi68c913.85$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.3660856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mark Lajal64c859.77$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.486,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Leandro Riedi63c853.51$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.711,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Leandro Riedi39c843.39$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.929,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Mark Lajal32c807.79$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.324547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Leandro Riedi64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Mark Lajal71c709.3$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3678840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Mark Lajal71c704.87$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.311,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mark Lajal69c682.78$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.164,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Leandro Riedi68c649.97$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.9837944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Leandro Riedi27c630.31$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.731436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Leandro Riedi2c616$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Mark Lajal57c603.63$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3822337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Leandro Riedi63c561.27$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.656757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b7…b0b3backed Mark Lajal37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.542944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Leandro Riedi36c500.01$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.624,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Mark Lajal78c500$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10916133.5%54 W · 107 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Mark Lajal73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13525257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leandro Riedi51c465.38$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.188,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Leandro Riedi66c447.76$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.521,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Leandro Riedi64c435.7$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8581047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Leandro Riedi42c428.77$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.381,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Leandro Riedi37c428.77$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.325,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Leandro Riedi64c406.39$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.23,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Leandro Riedi37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14815442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Leandro Riedi46c377.69$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.412,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Leandro Riedi39c377.1$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7912846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Leandro Riedi51c357.83$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.574,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Leandro Riedi14c346.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7766834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mark Lajal59c315.2$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.882,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Leandro Riedi4c309.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.396048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Leandro Riedi65c307.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Mark Lajal37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18958639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Mark Lajal35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19543353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Leandro Riedi66c287.13$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4768951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Leandro Riedi68c280$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.411050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9360…67f0backed Leandro Riedi35c276.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.711249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Mark Lajal39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Leandro Riedi67c250$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.723,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Leandro Riedi62c240.01$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.982,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Mark Lajal44c234.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.613928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mark Lajal44c230.4$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.47,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Leandro Riedi68c225$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Leandro Riedi63c223.03$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.511656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c5…17e8backed Mark Lajal44c216.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.149638.5%37 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mark Lajal72c204$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.121,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Leandro Riedi57c201.74$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.682,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Mark Lajal45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Leandro Riedi63c191.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8199249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mark Lajal35c189.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.291,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Mark Lajal32c174.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8385637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Leandro Riedi36c172.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.011,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Leandro Riedi38c170.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.326,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72dd…5ea8backed Leandro Riedi52c170.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.425054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Leandro Riedi30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Leandro Riedi42c163.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1899244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Leandro Riedi68c160.29$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10939254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Leandro Riedi63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Leandro Riedi64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Leandro Riedi67c154.6$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.197,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Leandro Riedi59c152.21$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mark Lajal30c151.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.833,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Leandro Riedi68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Mark Lajal37c145.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Mark Lajal31c144.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.315248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Leandro Riedi70c144$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.837158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Leandro Riedi36c140.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c0…86fbbacked Mark Lajal37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Leandro Riedi23c127.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9596945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Leandro Riedi68c126.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8389859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Leandro Riedi64c120$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.81,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Leandro Riedi33c112.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0753736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Mark Lajal68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2924975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfccf…2aefbacked Mark Lajal61c108.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.894153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Mark Lajal61c108$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1289663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Mark Lajal64c104.66$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.242,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mark Lajal61c99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.613,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.