TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RUSTECof Ursa, RUSTEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf424…9723backed RUSTEC65c3,973$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.3221135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ursa19c2,094$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.251,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa55c1,285$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.575,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ursa44c969.94$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.841,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC54c925.08$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.146,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Ursa56c757.73$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.111,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Ursa58c670$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.2628455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC45c670$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed RUSTEC46c655.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7440449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Ursa53c622.9$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.72,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa53c616.1$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.364,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed RUSTEC48c539.98$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7920750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed RUSTEC41c490.78$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5649935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed RUSTEC45c477.28$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.241,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked RUSTEC35c470.84$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5912448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa19c434.24$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.137,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Ursa52c403.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107935.4%28 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked RUSTEC79c320.82$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.891648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed RUSTEC73c257.09$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.992,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Ursa62c255$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8648635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed RUSTEC44c232.75$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2377351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked RUSTEC27c226.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.654,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Ursa42c221.46$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.043,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked RUSTEC46c218.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.711661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Ursa76c200.1$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.424671.7%33 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Ursa14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.415648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Ursa16c198.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9240542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed RUSTEC39c195.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2916829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked RUSTEC61c189.68$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3531647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked RUSTEC52c187.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.564,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Ursa68c185.01$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6364046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Ursa56c181.82$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.772,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked RUSTEC40c181.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10862738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Ursa14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Ursa17c172.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed RUSTEC42c170$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.62,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed RUSTEC59c169.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6398856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ba…7786backed RUSTEC69c165.41$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.021080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed RUSTEC72c156$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.952,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed RUSTEC53c149.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.924,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f1…5ea0backed Ursa22c145.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.029252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Ursa13c144$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7235848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed RUSTEC32c142.78$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6552750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Ursa54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.555941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ursa18c134.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.743,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed RUSTEC41c132$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.125,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ursa53c127$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3180942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked Ursa46c121.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.34738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked RUSTEC47c110.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5958745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked RUSTEC42c110.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8591945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Ursa58c103.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ffd…08fabacked Ursa52c98.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5725457.5%146 W · 108 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Ursa50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed RUSTEC45c97.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.395248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Ursa74c91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2540141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed RUSTEC33c85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9588330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Ursa59c83.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5415751%80 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Ursa59c80.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.781,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed RUSTEC43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.66253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a9…27b7backed RUSTEC42c79$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.822339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ursa33c76.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.322,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked RUSTEC48c75.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.181,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed RUSTEC42c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed Ursa41c72.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023654.7%129 W · 107 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb013…af56backed RUSTEC60c69.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.91650%8 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked RUSTEC49c54.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.788548.2%41 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked RUSTEC59c44.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.321,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed RUSTEC45c42.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.224259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Ursa56c41.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4150051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed RUSTEC80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked RUSTEC33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.815646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Ursa53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf5…a298backed RUSTEC80c37.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.511883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x765f…eb73backed Ursa37c36.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed RUSTEC39c35.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ursa57c35.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1138037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed RUSTEC46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.920067%134 W · 66 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked RUSTEC42c30.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3331845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1988…0394backed Ursa55c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.493259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed RUSTEC46c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1916363.2%103 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked RUSTEC45c27.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4752645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd3…c376backed RUSTEC79c26.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.511877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5046…a07ebacked RUSTEC77c26.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.097074.3%52 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Ursa57c25.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7479951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8350…d9febacked RUSTEC78c25.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.734100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Ursa46c23.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.035973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Ursa55c20.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Ursa58c19.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1621755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.