CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2da519483460014cdcf5b5d93db2b33eadea50ba489edb1df14805cf86021dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof Ursa, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf424…9723backed RUSTEC | 65c | 3,973$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.32 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ursa | 19c | 2,094$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.25 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 55c | 1,285$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.57 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ursa | 44c | 969.94$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.84 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 54c | 925.08$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ursa | 56c | 757.73$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.11 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ursa | 58c | 670$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.26 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 45c | 670$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed RUSTEC | 46c | 655.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.74 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ursa | 53c | 622.9$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.7 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 53c | 616.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed RUSTEC | 48c | 539.98$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed RUSTEC | 41c | 490.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.56 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed RUSTEC | 45c | 477.28$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked RUSTEC | 35c | 470.84$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.59 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 19c | 434.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Ursa | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked RUSTEC | 79c | 320.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RUSTEC | 73c | 257.09$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Ursa | 62c | 255$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed RUSTEC | 44c | 232.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RUSTEC | 27c | 226.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ursa | 42c | 221.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked RUSTEC | 46c | 218.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Ursa | 76c | 200.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Ursa | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Ursa | 16c | 198.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed RUSTEC | 39c | 195.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked RUSTEC | 61c | 189.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RUSTEC | 52c | 187.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Ursa | 68c | 185.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Ursa | 56c | 181.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked RUSTEC | 40c | 181.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Ursa | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Ursa | 17c | 172.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed RUSTEC | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed RUSTEC | 59c | 169.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…7786backed RUSTEC | 69c | 165.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RUSTEC | 72c | 156$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RUSTEC | 53c | 149.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Ursa | 22c | 145.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Ursa | 13c | 144$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed RUSTEC | 32c | 142.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Ursa | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Ursa | 18c | 134.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RUSTEC | 41c | 132$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ursa | 53c | 127$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Ursa | 46c | 121.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked RUSTEC | 47c | 110.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked RUSTEC | 42c | 110.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Ursa | 58c | 103.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Ursa | 52c | 98.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 254 | 57.5%146 W · 108 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Ursa | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed RUSTEC | 45c | 97.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Ursa | 74c | 91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed RUSTEC | 33c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Ursa | 59c | 83.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ursa | 59c | 80.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed RUSTEC | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed RUSTEC | 42c | 79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ursa | 33c | 76.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked RUSTEC | 48c | 75.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed RUSTEC | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Ursa | 41c | 72.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…af56backed RUSTEC | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked RUSTEC | 49c | 54.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked RUSTEC | 59c | 44.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed RUSTEC | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Ursa | 56c | 41.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed RUSTEC | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked RUSTEC | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Ursa | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…a298backed RUSTEC | 80c | 37.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Ursa | 37c | 36.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RUSTEC | 39c | 35.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ursa | 57c | 35.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed RUSTEC | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked RUSTEC | 42c | 30.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…0394backed Ursa | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed RUSTEC | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked RUSTEC | 45c | 27.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…c376backed RUSTEC | 79c | 26.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked RUSTEC | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Ursa | 57c | 25.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8350…d9febacked RUSTEC | 78c | 25.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ursa | 46c | 23.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ursa | 55c | 20.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Ursa | 58c | 19.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.