TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TYLOOof Astralis, TYLOO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$794,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$905,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 804 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed TYLOO39c92,737$36,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,569.821353.5%114 W · 99 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Astralis30c35,422$10,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,518.41,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked TYLOO37c35,000$12,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,049.7577052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis62c34,000$21,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,039.9450254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Astralis61c28,887$17,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,720.8515947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked TYLOO77c26,075$20,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,904.7522468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked TYLOO38c23,700$9,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,693.9242440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Astralis62c23,333$14,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,466.4615052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked TYLOO58c23,301$13,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,762.4341340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed TYLOO38c23,263$8,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,423.1623839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Astralis17c23,185$4,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,035.2322230.2%67 W · 155 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO38c20,877$8,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,861.135,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Astralis63c20,270$12,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,770.2721548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed Astralis62c16,666$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,299.5810359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Astralis61c16,400$10,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00433343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Astralis63c15,873$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis30c13,858$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.5630340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis62c13,303$8,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,247.6965351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked TYLOO40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50016543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked TYLOO37c12,500$4,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,910.892458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Astralis62c12,458$7,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,665.317250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis61c12,000$7,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,32036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Astralis60c11,250$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75014051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked TYLOO38c10,500$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,509.97646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked TYLOO38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2002673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Astralis61c9,500$5,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,83532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TYLOO76c9,481$7,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.295,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis18c9,095$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.42,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TYLOO38c9,065$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,646.042,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Astralis62c8,710$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40022654.9%124 W · 102 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed TYLOO38c8,158$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,057.8920947.8%100 W · 109 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked TYLOO37c8,083$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,083.3925751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis62c8,059$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.7437157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis63c7,940$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.1619455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed TYLOO37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,78072046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed Astralis62c5,340$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Astralis61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05027353.1%145 W · 128 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.9537946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Astralis61c4,918$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025361.3%155 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TYLOO38c4,500$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.9528538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Astralis62c4,400$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.969454.3%51 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis40c3,736$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.661,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis48c3,538$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b17…672ebacked Astralis63c3,316$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.261250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9440…a073backed Astralis61c3,279$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Astralis61c3,269$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.493455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Astralis63c3,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Astralis63c3,160$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00049251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Astralis64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked TYLOO37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked TYLOO38c2,558$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.521,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf915…8720backed Astralis62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Astralis62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9917162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Astralis61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.9414950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf85d…ab00backed TYLOO73c2,403$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.744242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9368…80a3backed Astralis42c2,399$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.214845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed TYLOO38c2,315$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.467157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Astralis1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021822%48 W · 170 L-0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Astralis41c2,028$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.8115264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed TYLOO38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24026154.4%142 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Astralis60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked TYLOO38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24032752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked TYLOO61c2,000$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.8317148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis60c2,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9697240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed TYLOO36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.911,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TYLOO38c1,924$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.182,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed TYLOO53c1,901$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.143842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis37c1,890$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.5675545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Astralis4c1,885$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.776744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked TYLOO59c1,867$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.4614947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Astralis62c1,852$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.2424349%119 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis34c1,742$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.254,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad7b…779cbacked TYLOO75c1,661$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.594362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed TYLOO63c1,628$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.8930153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed TYLOO37c1,626$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.659841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Astralis62c1,620$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.417460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Astralis62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Astralis61c1,612$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.3245639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32a8…3fb6backed Astralis11c1,610$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.812352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Astralis32c1,609$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.887536%27 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis4c1,603$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0670423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis61c1,588$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.952,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Astralis63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…2ffebacked TYLOO65c1,561$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.021573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Astralis58c1,552$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90015155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Astralis37c1,522$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.142,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Astralis30c1,514$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3839342.5%167 W · 226 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Astralis55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.0245455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed TYLOO61c1,475$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.4120249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Astralis61c1,458$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.4142751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Astralis62c1,390$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.7819849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Astralis41c1,357$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.3915756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed TYLOO62c1,322$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.229254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed TYLOO53c1,309$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.399256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b0…69b3backed TYLOO39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.056656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a9d…5521backed TYLOO79c1,245$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.443470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Astralis41c1,237$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50514639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed TYLOO38c1,217$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3411434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked TYLOO37c1,216$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.2113234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Astralis49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58894945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.