TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof Fluxo W7M, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x594d…059dbacked LOUD57c25,786$14,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,122.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Fluxo W7M43c23,251$9,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,997.91533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed LOUD54c11,400$6,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,24416356.4%92 W · 71 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Fluxo W7M46c7,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4502458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Fluxo W7M44c6,355$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.173531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Fluxo W7M47c4,973$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.18933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fluxo W7M41c3,524$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.112,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Fluxo W7M1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed LOUD56c3,300$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45216155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Fluxo W7M1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked LOUD54c2,462$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.62,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed LOUD54c2,446$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.3318467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Fluxo W7M43c2,422$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.381,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Fluxo W7M44c2,275$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.955552.7%29 W · 26 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Fluxo W7M47c2,129$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed LOUD49c2,000$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.452,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed LOUD53c1,787$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.7723351.1%119 W · 114 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked LOUD54c1,713$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.11,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed LOUD53c1,665$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.6710346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Fluxo W7M44c1,650$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72625447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Fluxo W7M34c1,573$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9852543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Fluxo W7M40c1,564$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.81,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LOUD57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Fluxo W7M43c1,368$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.2410546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked LOUD57c1,168$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.134247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3a…9683backed LOUD53c1,120$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6e…1ebfbacked Fluxo W7M39c1,100$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4298243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ce…cc35backed Fluxo W7M46c1,098$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012552%65 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed LOUD54c1,082$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.832,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed LOUD74c1,059$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1897254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked LOUD57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43030160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83c…a8f4backed LOUD57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed LOUD42c935.73$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.451,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed LOUD77c911.4$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3766058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed LOUD57c795.03$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.821,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32a8…3fb6backed Fluxo W7M12c747.14$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed Fluxo W7M43c717$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.312040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Fluxo W7M73c699.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.4910667.9%72 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Fluxo W7M42c696.73$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.418046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Fluxo W7M45c662.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed LOUD56c658.82$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.888149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked Fluxo W7M46c652.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed Fluxo W7M46c652.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.221540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed LOUD50c630.46$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2528938.4%111 W · 178 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Fluxo W7M42c616.65$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9664749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked LOUD55c585.18$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.332250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed LOUD61c561$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7910443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed LOUD61c555$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.451,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3acc…399ebacked Fluxo W7M27c548.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150100%0 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8217…1a98backed LOUD55c546$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.71520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0acb…05c2backed Fluxo W7M45c533.94$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.271233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed LOUD57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc927…a3c2backed LOUD57c520.93$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+90.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LOUD55c517.99$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.761,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo W7M38c514.21$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.981,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked LOUD56c513.04$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.749649%47 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ee…3b01backed LOUD57c510.78$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.761747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Fluxo W7M21c500$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7722930.6%70 W · 159 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked LOUD60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009545.3%43 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7e…9546backed Fluxo W7M3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3155…cf15backed LOUD53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed LOUD39c500$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.341,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Fluxo W7M45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22594948.5%460 W · 489 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Fluxo W7M44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9960538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Fluxo W7M50c496.1$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.91,47648.3%713 W · 763 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x662a…150ebacked Fluxo W7M45c474.07$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.331931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Fluxo W7M36c465.55$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-65.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M48c462.51$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.752,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked LOUD61c450.82$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed Fluxo W7M43c450$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6777…1a8dbacked Fluxo W7M45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Fluxo W7M45c440$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19856650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed Fluxo W7M47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed Fluxo W7M43c412.48$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.377847.4%37 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcae…2397backed LOUD76c410.09$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.998051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked LOUD55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18017438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c83…72eabacked Fluxo W7M13c395.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.595032%16 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Fluxo W7M47c391.2$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.915356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Fluxo W7M34c390.02$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8920450.5%103 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783f…c3e7backed LOUD38c376.91$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.472157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M39c372.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.092,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed LOUD56c372.29$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.813033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Fluxo W7M36c366.63$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.121,20740%483 W · 724 L-63.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed LOUD54c364.53$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8112927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed LOUD56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked LOUD57c347.28$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Fluxo W7M45c344.44$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15548353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed Fluxo W7M46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Fluxo W7M48c322.62$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.562839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Fluxo W7M47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed Fluxo W7M47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadf7…d90fbacked LOUD79c316.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.922623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc2…d305backed Fluxo W7M45c310$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.53847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Fluxo W7M22c302.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5161746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Fluxo W7M66c300.17$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19723149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed LOUD55c297$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9679745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed LOUD52c294.79$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.051952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b8b…2ce5backed Fluxo W7M43c292.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.382770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD71c278.47$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.961,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f8…8c55backed Fluxo W7M44c271.61$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.519640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.