Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51bb809a4298882fcb2d6ffd30e88273cdfd25ff352abeba79d5f8d8c1b9bed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 54c | 5,642$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.49 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 2,777$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.87 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 45c | 2,429$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.78 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 56c | 1,503$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.89 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 1,173$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.37 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 45c | 1,037$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.83 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 54c | 555.69$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.36 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Over | 47c | 523.86$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.61 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…72a1backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 57c | 462.44$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 429$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.05 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Under | 57c | 350.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 50c | 317.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Over | 47c | 299.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 55c | 265.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…e09bbacked Over | 45c | 250.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 45c | 185.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 55c | 168.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 147.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Over | 46c | 132.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 12c | 103$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over | 44c | 81.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 55c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 44c | 80.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 56c | 75.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 45c | 47.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Over | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Over | 45c | 28.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Under | 55c | 27.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Yes won
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Yes won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsLOUD won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.