TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof Fluxo W7M, LOUD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked LOUD38c8,020$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.031,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4b…17b9backed Fluxo W7M76c7,235$5,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,526.73757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Fluxo W7M1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Fluxo W7M1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Fluxo W7M40c2,435$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.5919053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked LOUD24c2,223$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.0267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed LOUD32c2,032$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.864247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Fluxo W7M41c1,960$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.7863546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Fluxo W7M40c1,801$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.3387844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed Fluxo W7M62c1,762$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.019742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LOUD56c1,550$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.051,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed LOUD21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1853033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Fluxo W7M44c1,355$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.0664749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Fluxo W7M78c1,276$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Fluxo W7M44c1,253$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.325639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed LOUD53c1,233$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.171,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed LOUD46c1,170$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.5582953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Fluxo W7M17c1,050$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.52425%6 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7288…9ec5backed Fluxo W7M17c1,050$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.51631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick16cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Fluxo W7M17c1,050$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752133.3%7 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed LOUD24c1,003$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.433852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed LOUD54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked LOUD51c923.74$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.977451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M45c866.97$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.621,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Fluxo W7M37c838.17$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.2586251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed LOUD37c802.76$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0675342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked LOUD53c801$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.472250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…70b6backed Fluxo W7M15c750$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed LOUD55c718.91$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2327432.5%89 W · 185 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Fluxo W7M42c691.17$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28826635%93 W · 173 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Fluxo W7M3c661.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.612181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Fluxo W7M3c650$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.540916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842c…6674backed LOUD45c610.69$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8818162.4%113 W · 68 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed LOUD34c600.72$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5586943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Fluxo W7M3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+89.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7d…492dbacked Fluxo W7M15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…ba87backed Fluxo W7M15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…07cfbacked LOUD15c600$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103100%3 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+765.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Fluxo W7M54c597.6$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.431,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Fluxo W7M45c582.28$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8218046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed LOUD71c562.26$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8358559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed LOUD56c554.95$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.181,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked LOUD39c538$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.261,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed LOUD57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3239266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Fluxo W7M17c525$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.56237.1%23 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked Fluxo W7M17c525$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed LOUD54c501.99$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.921833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Fluxo W7M3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dae…0336backed LOUD59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20514149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed LOUD76c450.03$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0317457.5%100 W · 74 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked LOUD27c443.88$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2167115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked LOUD40c412.02$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1361746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Fluxo W7M46c402.24$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6528341%116 W · 167 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed LOUD64c399.99$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14430151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed LOUD21c389.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2234237.7%129 W · 213 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed LOUD77c362.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2466058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84a6…8277backed Fluxo W7M64c361.66$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.461566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fluxo W7M39c354.81$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.781,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked LOUD57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8843453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed LOUD71c350$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.546263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed LOUD52c342.01$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1623351.1%119 W · 114 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOUD63c315.91$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.543,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed LOUD59c305.33$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1925074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked LOUD59c305.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.083551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Fluxo W7M43c299.19$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6512927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed LOUD55c294.72$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.371952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD68c294.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.381,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked LOUD63c284.28$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6635341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Fluxo W7M44c272.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.821440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed LOUD39c272.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7652543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed LOUD37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2723454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M27c268.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.782,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Fluxo W7M39c267.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8564451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LOUD54c257$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.21,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed Fluxo W7M76c256.17$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4521267%142 W · 70 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd257…c66cbacked Fluxo W7M47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked LOUD61c247.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0525256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked LOUD53c246.2$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.715356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Fluxo W7M45c243.96$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7892342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Fluxo W7M17c238.79$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.931323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Fluxo W7M47c237.11$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4448353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Fluxo W7M44c228.7$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6342735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M38c215.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.652,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked LOUD33c200$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.677733.8%26 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fluxo W7M30c199.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.661,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed LOUD56c190.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9110443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed LOUD65c189.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.251,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD68c186.6$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.671,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Fluxo W7M25c184.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.851,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Fluxo W7M46c181.85$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8417757.6%102 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked LOUD43c176.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.071,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed LOUD64c172.92$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4715656.4%88 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed LOUD64c172.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.141442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluxo W7M15c170$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.412,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcae…2397backed LOUD78c162.56$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.148051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92e3…eb51backed LOUD76c154.71$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed LOUD70c149.66$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8614546.2%67 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…1e72backed Fluxo W7M23c142.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0834141.6%142 W · 199 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed LOUD56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.936947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b8b…2ce5backed LOUD76c130.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.992770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.