TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$561,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$638,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 587 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed B834c99,999$34,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,999.8221353.5%114 W · 99 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked B835c61,317$21,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,223.9914050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed B834c30,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed B834c29,999$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.7617951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz65c25,000$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,749.976657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed TheMongolz79c24,949$19,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.0523355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed B835c24,571$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz66c15,167$10,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,156.6725751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed B835c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25021548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed B820c14,300$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.41,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed TheMongolz66c13,140$8,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.618243.4%79 W · 103 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked TheMongolz65c12,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.997250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed TheMongolz74c10,645$7,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.5422554.2%122 W · 103 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x020c…6a33backed TheMongolz66c10,593$6,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed TheMongolz66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed TheMongolz65c9,046$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.077454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked TheMongolz65c9,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked TheMongolz65c8,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80036753.7%197 W · 170 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked TheMongolz66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.7622654.9%124 W · 102 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B835c7,017$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.8178939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed TheMongolz69c6,250$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.4614047.9%67 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5946…5623backed TheMongolz66c6,212$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.12850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+116.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked TheMongolz66c6,061$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.744957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked TheMongolz66c6,060$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.421251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed B834c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04072046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked B834c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed TheMongolz66c5,871$3,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.2125147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed TheMongolz70c5,778$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.7520745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed TheMongolz66c5,303$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.0312955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked TheMongolz64c5,257$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.672673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed TheMongolz66c4,611$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.7322045.5%100 W · 120 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz66c4,596$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.6465351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed B831c4,243$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.542,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed TheMongolz65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40027353.1%145 W · 128 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked TheMongolz66c3,840$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.64353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B827c3,800$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0341,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz66c3,540$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.625749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed TheMongolz66c3,339$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.3738839.4%153 W · 235 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x314c…975fbacked TheMongolz70c3,144$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.795971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked B836c3,104$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.317540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed B810c3,090$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3109335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed TheMongolz65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked B834c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9612956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf97c…4b96backed TheMongolz66c2,879$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked B836c2,795$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed B820c2,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4959723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b5…c111backed TheMongolz66c2,485$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.854461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed B833c2,409$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.5660848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed B830c2,339$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70049251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed TheMongolz70c2,327$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.611,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed TheMongolz66c2,270$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.817460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed TheMongolz66c2,261$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.925845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c30…54a2backed TheMongolz66c2,230$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.23066.7%20 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TheMongolz78c2,181$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.931,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed B824c2,057$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4929144%40 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked TheMongolz65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7005855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked TheMongolz65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7007941.8%33 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed B835c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed TheMongolz66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68017162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed TheMongolz65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9913846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed TheMongolz65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9829948.8%146 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed TheMongolz65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9814950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked B834c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.978252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed TheMongolz67c1,847$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.578752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked TheMongolz66c1,813$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.3512846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked B815c1,800$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27019351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked TheMongolz66c1,795$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.434340.8%140 W · 203 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz70c1,795$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.9187847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked TheMongolz66c1,783$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.3320141.8%84 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed B834c1,750$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed TheMongolz66c1,709$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.9659841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed B818c1,600$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5925345.8%116 W · 137 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed TheMongolz65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.345639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed TheMongolz78c1,519$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.515959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked TheMongolz65c1,516$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.7111656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked TheMongolz66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1520458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TheMongolz77c1,509$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.412,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed TheMongolz69c1,501$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.3119659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed TheMongolz72c1,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42527156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…61babacked TheMongolz66c1,409$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9e…da6cbacked B821c1,401$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed TheMongolz66c1,391$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.9621745.2%98 W · 119 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed TheMongolz66c1,333$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3336239.2%142 W · 220 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed TheMongolz77c1,327$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3170060.1%421 W · 279 L+70.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed B834c1,296$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.784647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed TheMongolz66c1,290$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.6548939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed B835c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked TheMongolz66c1,135$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.9911661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed B830c1,132$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.082,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f6…f490backed TheMongolz76c1,130$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.91533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed TheMongolz68c1,094$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0833232.2%107 W · 225 L-0.8wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed B833c1,075$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.7416449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked TheMongolz66c1,061$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6141069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed TheMongolz70c1,053$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.9724262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked B831c1,008$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.351,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed B835c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked TheMongolz65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked TheMongolz66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34017853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33089546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed TheMongolz65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.