TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked TheMongolz40c40,000$15,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,066.857040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed B859c25,155$14,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,941.2441649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked B862c17,886$11,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,052.7375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed TheMongolz39c7,222$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.4117643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9c…b3e0backed TheMongolz67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.732263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed B833c3,749$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.3235054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed B861c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8301,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed B860c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked TheMongolz38c2,618$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.1634559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed B862c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked B838c2,173$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.5898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed B861c2,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked TheMongolz39c1,697$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.115536.4%20 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed TheMongolz39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91518254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed B834c1,355$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.6931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed TheMongolz38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62014950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed TheMongolz39c999.97$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.9813646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked B859c999$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.411,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked B860c830$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49842050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa6…9d71backed TheMongolz67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.274856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed TheMongolz38c702.74$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.748240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed TheMongolz42c660.09$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.0929757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked TheMongolz62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed B861c486.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29712041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e30…3f4cbacked B863c476.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked TheMongolz37c455.72$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.136152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed TheMongolz40c392.78$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.675648.2%27 W · 29 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked TheMongolz62c379.03$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0335745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed B861c365.5$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9661154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6294…8862backed TheMongolz61c340.27$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.263278.1%25 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+33.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked TheMongolz38c305.68$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5248845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed B861c270$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.77152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed TheMongolz48c234.69$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0441938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked B861c222.89$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6589248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed B838c217.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7524451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed B861c210$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.665946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked TheMongolz38c179.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5958343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed B842c178.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.961,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9943…67b7backed B857c175.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked B860c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10258254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed B861c165.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed B861c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed TheMongolz38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8921942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed B861c152.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2366851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed B843c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.520045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed TheMongolz57c142$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0630155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed TheMongolz38c132$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8427744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed TheMongolz38c130.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.751060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked TheMongolz40c130$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7819147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed TheMongolz39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2133354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed B860c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked TheMongolz63c119$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2637149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed B861c114.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed B861c110$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.112260.7%74 W · 48 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed TheMongolz37c104.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6224935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfb6…67edbacked TheMongolz37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6315246.7%71 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed B847c86.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TheMongolz59c81.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.627,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5943…869ebacked TheMongolz56c81.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.047556%42 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed B863c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.413857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked B863c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked TheMongolz40c72.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.530236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed TheMongolz48c71.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3312654.8%69 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed TheMongolz40c70.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.21,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed B850c68.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.236846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed3…01e3backed TheMongolz38c65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.37936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f68…189fbacked TheMongolz62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked TheMongolz51c64.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5330639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed B861c63.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed B819c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+165.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8234…bfd0backed B862c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309654.2%52 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked TheMongolz62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.394955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked TheMongolz48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6731950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed B862c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb084…be70backed TheMongolz36c40.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.885824.1%14 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed B840c34.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4feb…6239backed B844c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked TheMongolz59c33.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6814555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4e…fbfbbacked B861c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb545…23d9backed B862c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed B861c32.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.572,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5205…814ebacked TheMongolz48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.254768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed TheMongolz39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.330247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed TheMongolz38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.638754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed B863c29.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8923354.5%127 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz38c29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0785446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64b…e453backed B861c27.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed TheMongolz40c27.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2313754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed B861c26.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae0…0dfebacked TheMongolz59c25.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a42…ad20backed TheMongolz40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked TheMongolz62c24.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.326450%32 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed B860c23.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7576248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x760e…db1abacked B862c20.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78268.3%56 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…a13dbacked TheMongolz61c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.86058.3%35 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked B861c18.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3948948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.