CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37eae0b6c67e924e4754bdc743973283b206ef2ffc6e23d93996256998326ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 47c | 50,000$23,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,435.54 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 53c | 47,549$25,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,348.02 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 30c | 17,882$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.61 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 30c | 7,668$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.39 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…3193backed Over | 50c | 6,008$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…8ca6backed Over | 30c | 5,900$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 30c | 4,661$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.63 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 30c | 4,465$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.28 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 55c | 3,977$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.64 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 51c | 1,630$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 33c | 1,213$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Over | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 55c | 760.2$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.7 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 50c | 716.19$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.1 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…b105backed Over | 51c | 591.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed Under | 49c | 576.87$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 53c | 554.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.84 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 46c | 378.04$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 299.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 47c | 249$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 66c | 240.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 55c | 239.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 182$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…7b85backed Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 30c | 160.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…6d6dbacked Over | 12c | 149.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 30c | 121.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 36c | 114.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…9b50backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 64c | 107.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…12c1backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 105.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 46c | 99.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 49c | 97.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…871fbacked Over | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 81.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Under | 75c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…780bbacked Under | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 34c | 70.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 69.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 54c | 58.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 30c | 50.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 43c | 49.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 30c | 47.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 43c | 46.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…6dc9backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…281fbacked Over | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 39c | 41.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…8ce8backed Over | 30c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0f…124abacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…e660backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 48c | 29.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…bde0backed Over | 47c | 23.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.