TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff0f…124a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$192.28
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$17.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.9
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+154.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$48
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$14.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$313.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.