CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1d36b8958e4ee7eb1c49a413fdfd14ff152c9e83750205ba8525c703864191a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 985.56$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Under | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 49c | 419.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 20c | 308.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 48c | 205.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 189.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 175.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 52c | 109.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Over | 56c | 105.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…b826backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 37c | 85.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked Under | 53c | 74.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Over | 47c | 59.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Under | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 51c | 43.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…fdaabacked Over | 48c | 41.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…622cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 40.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 54c | 38.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 61c | 35.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 53c | 30.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 30.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…fdacbacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0f…124abacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…6bd7backed Over | 47c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1TYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)TYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.