Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cc5f0d1109484be5bb70a0177ad7deae7a66433450aa9b087cefde0fc29e97b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigeriaof Portugal, Nigeria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Nigeria | 65c | 121,094$78,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,422.04 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portugal | 40c | 29,273$11,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,802.45 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portugal | 36c | 24,171$8,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,651.44 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Portugal | 35c | 20,571$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.92 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Portugal | 37c | 19,408$7,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,201.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Portugal | 35c | 17,217$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.11 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Portugal | 35c | 15,428$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.94 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Portugal | 35c | 15,428$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.94 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Portugal | 32c | 15,170$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.7 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Portugal | 35c | 10,286$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.96 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portugal | 36c | 9,028$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.75 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nigeria | 49c | 8,055$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,077.16 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Portugal | 34c | 6,011$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.83 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nigeria | 54c | 5,238$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.54 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Nigeria | 53c | 4,120$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.82 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Portugal | 76c | 4,068$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.45 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Portugal | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Nigeria | 53c | 3,853$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.78 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nigeria | 46c | 3,276$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.74 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…40f9backed Nigeria | 51c | 3,168$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Portugal | 16c | 3,019$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.7 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81bc…fcfabacked Portugal | 51c | 2,942$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.4 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Nigeria | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigeria | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.78 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Portugal | 36c | 2,460$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Portugal | 42c | 2,419$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.39 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Portugal | 49c | 2,301$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.08 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Portugal | 53c | 2,273$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Portugal | 36c | 2,254$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.94 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Nigeria | 50c | 2,187$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portugal | 26c | 2,097$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.66 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Portugal | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Portugal | 54c | 2,021$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.26 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Nigeria | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Portugal | 35c | 1,975$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.68 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Portugal | 35c | 1,758$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.3 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Portugal | 48c | 1,625$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Portugal | 48c | 1,592$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.47 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Nigeria | 52c | 1,543$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.77 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Nigeria | 53c | 1,490$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.48 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Portugal | 32c | 1,483$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.62 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Portugal | 46c | 1,424$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.72 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Nigeria | 19c | 1,320$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.2 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Nigeria | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Portugal | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.15 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Nigeria | 46c | 1,168$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.64 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked Nigeria | 78c | 1,154$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.85 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Nigeria | 46c | 1,134$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.32 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Portugal | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Nigeria | 52c | 1,071$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Portugal | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Nigeria | 48c | 999.9$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.95 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Nigeria | 6c | 987.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.1 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.38per pick | 43cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Portugal | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Nigeria | 47c | 945$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Nigeria | 52c | 940.44$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.28 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Portugal | 51c | 937.72$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.24 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Portugal | 48c | 916.67$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Nigeria | 51c | 908.08$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.96 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Nigeria | 55c | 807.22$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.25 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Portugal | 49c | 785.97$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.51 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Nigeria | 53c | 751.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.22 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d94…541abacked Nigeria | 52c | 718.26$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Nigeria | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Portugal | 51c | 686.64$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Portugal | 52c | 659.11$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.74 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Nigeria | 50c | 641.07$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.54 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portugal | 25c | 608.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Nigeria | 48c | 604.58$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.38 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Nigeria | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Nigeria | 20c | 600$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Nigeria | 49c | 565.83$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Portugal | 36c | 555.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Portugal | 31c | 540.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigeria | 64c | 524.31$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…68cebacked Nigeria | 56c | 522.87$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Portugal | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed Portugal | 48c | 499.61$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.81 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Nigeria | 55c | 490.18$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.26 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Nigeria | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Nigeria | 48c | 474.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.98 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Portugal | 47c | 444.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…735ebacked Portugal | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Portugal | 18c | 416.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Portugal | 49c | 406.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Portugal | 55c | 405.47$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Nigeria | 50c | 403.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.19 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Portugal | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f48…a145backed Portugal | 51c | 370.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Portugal | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nigeria | 63c | 354.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Portugal | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Nigeria | 44c | 350.51$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Portugal | 27c | 346.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Portugal | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5857…4297backed Nigeria | 48c | 338.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…c2c1backed Portugal | 49c | 328.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…507abacked Portugal | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Portugal | 52c | 309.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Portugal | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)this page
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Nigeria (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Nigeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.