Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e4da94236d96d4b4f0709c003528ea500bf42f5c1df74ba40c24798c0691d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 51c | 15,000$7,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,355.69 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 10,846$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 52c | 5,761$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.27 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 54c | 5,032$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.97 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 4,299$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.99 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 51c | 3,335$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 2,355$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 49c | 2,217$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.1 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed No | 53c | 1,875$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.7 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 1,695$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.61 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 1,532$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.67 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 1,364$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.51 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 1,279$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.87 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Yes | 62c | 1,122$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.47 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 49c | 690.86$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.23 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed No | 52c | 619.09$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.05 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 49c | 609$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…0392backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 50c | 593.21$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.63 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…7851backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 71c | 443$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 51c | 403.95$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed No | 49c | 399.9$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 376.22$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed No | 54c | 371.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 358.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 340.22$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 324.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 51c | 303.72$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…e875backed No | 49c | 269.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 49c | 263.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed No | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…40c5backed Yes | 51c | 257.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 50c | 228$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Yes | 50c | 216$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 50c | 208.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…6f13backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…d9dcbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Yes | 76c | 194.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 53c | 194.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…d175backed No | 51c | 192.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 153.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 50c | 147.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…0fc8backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…95e4backed Yes | 51c | 134.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 65c | 131.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 52c | 127.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 52c | 124.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…232dbacked Yes | 55c | 123.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 120.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked No | 49c | 119.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Yes | 50c | 115.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 44c | 113.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 46c | 113$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…48dcbacked Yes | 50c | 107.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…82b1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…c29fbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 51c | 97.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Yes | 52c | 95.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 50c | 95.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 44c | 91.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e8…9cf2backed Yes | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 51c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…d61fbacked Yes | 51c | 77.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 52c | 76.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…363ebacked Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 70.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 49c | 66.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbc…4572backed Yes | 50c | 65.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Yes | 47c | 64.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Yes | 47c | 62.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed No | 51c | 60.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…e1aabacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…c21fbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…2777backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked No | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 52c | 54.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Nigeria (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Nigeria won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Nigeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.