Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8da11ae21fe1efee8f2c76d17e8ad8ae40fa73ecf9e42c4a93facec210eaa864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 42c | 121,094$50,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,859.63 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 58c | 72,309$41,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,369.94 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 31c | 47,635$14,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,574.74 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 36,935$23,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,895.04 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 38c | 11,018$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.29 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235b…af09backed Over | 48c | 7,347$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 6,912$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.62 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Over | 47c | 5,885$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 5,805$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 5,493$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 23c | 3,820$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 59c | 3,707$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.21 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 4c | 3,313$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 34c | 3,096$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.59 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 50c | 2,646$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.46 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over | 11c | 2,501$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 70c | 2,336$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.71 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 2,258$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.59 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 76c | 1,745$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.88 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 1,711$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 64c | 1,701$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.49 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 1,648$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.45 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 63c | 1,503$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.16 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 62c | 1,499$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.91 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Under | 61c | 1,498$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.24 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Under | 63c | 1,429$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.87 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Over | 29c | 1,304$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.13 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 66c | 1,244$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.72 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 41c | 1,186$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.28 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 1,183$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.19 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 58c | 1,111$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 1,051$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.15 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Under | 64c | 924.63$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.37 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 35c | 891.41$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 69c | 852.55$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 39c | 840.87$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.94 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 27c | 777.74$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 32c | 755.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Under | 62c | 748.55$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.9 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 10c | 742$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 80c | 720.77$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Under | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 688.61$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 623$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.09 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 63c | 592.93$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.91 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Over | 3c | 583.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 58c | 512.21$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 15c | 501$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 496.21$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Over | 38c | 460.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7f10backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 56c | 447.3$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Under | 66c | 446.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 61c | 419.31$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 404.81$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 11c | 399.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 38c | 389.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…775fbacked Under | 54c | 371.7$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 38c | 331.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 36c | 318.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 39c | 313.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 31c | 312.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 309.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 61c | 305.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 31c | 303.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 62c | 300.31$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 54c | 286$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 47c | 272.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 268.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 56c | 267.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Under | 54c | 264.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 26c | 257.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…728fbacked Under | 59c | 254.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…8862backed Under | 63c | 239.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Under | 64c | 230$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over | 14c | 229.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 53c | 224$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 63c | 221.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 56c | 219.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 52c | 212.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 32c | 212$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Over | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5this page
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Nigeria (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Nigeria won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Nigeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.