TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$363,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$339,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over42c121,094$50,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,859.6317034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under58c72,309$41,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,369.9416331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over31c47,635$14,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,574.748728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c36,935$23,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,895.044,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c11,018$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.2959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235b…af09backed Over48c7,347$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c6,912$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.623,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed Over47c5,885$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,737.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over41c5,805$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.263,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c5,493$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over23c3,820$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under59c3,707$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.2134845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over4c3,313$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over34c3,096$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.5912141.3%50 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over50c2,646$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.4637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over11c2,501$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.042544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under70c2,336$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.7111065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under65c2,258$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.592,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under76c1,745$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.8837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over38c1,711$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under64c1,701$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.4925942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under67c1,648$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.452,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under63c1,503$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.1624058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under62c1,499$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.9163151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under61c1,498$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.2411440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Under63c1,429$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.878138.3%31 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over29c1,304$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.1320150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under66c1,244$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.7236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over41c1,186$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2831545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over45c1,183$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.1983153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under61c1,148$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5410451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under58c1,111$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6233443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under55c1,051$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.151,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46044539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Under64c924.63$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.378758.6%51 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over35c891.41$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31321747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under69c852.55$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.642,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over39c840.87$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.941,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over27c777.74$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over32c755.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6343826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under62c748.55$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.910349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over10c742$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.95719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under80c720.77$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7722355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Under58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.665959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c688.61$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under62c623$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.0984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22822041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23414051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27016050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under63c592.93$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9110942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over3c583.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over58c512.21$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2972552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over15c501$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.922,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2358348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2358754%47 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1908032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under57c496.21$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.742,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Over38c460.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Under55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.551520%3 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under56c447.3$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3619744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under66c446.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.975040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under61c419.31$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5337451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under62c404.81$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.513,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over11c399.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over38c389.28$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.391,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc187…775fbacked Under54c371.7$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.981353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1549653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over38c331.25$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.338745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over36c318.04$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over39c313.17$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Under64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over31c312.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8813542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over50c309.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2635658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under61c305.98$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3323036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over31c303.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under62c300.31$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1241857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.362254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under54c286$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9917255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over47c272.64$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1463745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c268.85$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.881,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under56c267.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6711253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Under54c264.81$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.819064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over26c257.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6715143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d5…728fbacked Under59c254.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.529752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6294…8862backed Under63c239.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Under64c230$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.830040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over14c229.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.48934.8%31 W · 58 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under53c224$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.281,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under63c221.12$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1848152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over56c219.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12319746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over52c212.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over32c212$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.781,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Over47c208.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812154.5%66 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.