Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5465cf0101a1bd6e6200aecd84a1a473e7760e8b3ec281512724c44d830fbbc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Under | 1c | 20,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 8,699$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 4,237$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.56 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 3,633$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.21 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 3,137$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.9 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 14c | 2,778$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.45 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 21c | 2,454$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.38 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 2,383$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.06 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 49c | 2,050$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.01 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 2,017$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.61 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Over | 62c | 2,013$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.86 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 61c | 1,411$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.48 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 1,371$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.25 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…775fbacked Under | 45c | 1,094$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 37c | 1,045$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.61 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 73c | 1,015$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.47 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 39c | 985.32$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.85 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…79a8backed Over | 61c | 955.11$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 63c | 852.02$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.25 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 756.36$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…d3ddbacked Over | 78c | 749.99$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Over | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 38c | 709.62$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Under | 6c | 707.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 37c | 699.93$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 61c | 689.44$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 3c | 654.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 70c | 590.29$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 36c | 552.78$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 544.74$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.55 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 55c | 541.28$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.28 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 38c | 536.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 60c | 524.7$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.59 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 64c | 514.11$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…3c96backed Over | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 67c | 475.9$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 455.45$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 62c | 454.05$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 39c | 407.69$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 62c | 382.81$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Under | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 38c | 371.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Under | 9c | 336.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 60c | 327.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed Over | 64c | 313.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 12c | 300.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 37c | 299.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 75c | 294.13$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Over | 63c | 293.65$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…6bebbacked Over | 58c | 285.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 27c | 284.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 37c | 274.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 19c | 264$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Over | 62c | 245.89$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…d972backed Over | 67c | 223.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Under | 22c | 221.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Over | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 62c | 205.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 54c | 202.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed Over | 62c | 202.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 63c | 201.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 80c | 201.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…7360backed Under | 34c | 183.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 39c | 182.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…7ec4backed Under | 44c | 181.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…5bf6backed Under | 38c | 169.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 38c | 169.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…ffd7backed Over | 63c | 168.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 39c | 165$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c25…e04dbacked Over | 62c | 162.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 145.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…03aebacked Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…5eabbacked Over | 79c | 128.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Under | 38c | 118.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 38c | 107.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under | 44c | 105.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5this page
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Nigeria (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Nigeria won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Nigeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.