TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of B8, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$850,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$869,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $850,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 763 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked B858c107,268$61,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,908.9514050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed M8042c76,953$32,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,872.1941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed B857c45,000$25,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,602.8150054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked M8042c40,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,2004639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked M8043c35,375$15,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,026.3175452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked M8059c32,849$19,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,320.781,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed M8043c29,946$12,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,069.314163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed M8041c27,424$11,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,179.9320153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed B859c22,222$13,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,110.9833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked B857c22,052$12,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,666.975,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked B851c21,398$11,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,000.6341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbb…ae06backed M8051c17,469$8,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,616.881216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked B821c15,516$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.5122129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed B857c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,549.9810361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed M8042c15,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,699.886841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed B863c12,678$7,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,965.454526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked M8042c12,500$5,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,274.949148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed M8042c11,851$4,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,877.4613244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked M8042c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8007646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked M8042c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed B858c10,000$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.9975350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed M8055c8,930$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,003.711855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked B857c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked M8079c8,639$6,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.0522468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed M8051c8,338$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.5612955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed M8054c8,114$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.481,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed M8080c7,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked B857c7,500$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2953053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B835c6,427$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.765,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed M8042c6,356$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70719659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8043c6,104$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8043c5,300$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.391,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed B849c5,234$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.165444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8e…ce7dbacked B858c5,142$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked B858c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed B856c5,000$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.8917162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed B851c4,483$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.072,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M8051c4,434$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.641,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed M8056c4,255$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.663842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked M8057c4,240$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.641,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed M8050c3,864$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.0887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed M8043c3,784$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.4866551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B823c3,749$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.821,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked B854c3,675$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00022949.8%114 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed B81c3,629$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2929340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed M8042c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03011434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed M8043c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.1660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B835c3,473$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.2888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed B858c3,434$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked M8054c3,402$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.323,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed B858c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked M8041c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.9817540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed M8042c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.941,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked M8038c2,909$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.9112143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked M8048c2,758$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4281,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked B843c2,706$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.072,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked M8069c2,693$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked B866c2,600$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.723647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed B842c2,560$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.3711843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed M8080c2,560$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5128564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked B847c2,500$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18517148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B826c2,500$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.591,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x835f…5a4fbacked M8078c2,311$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.847100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+94.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B860c2,302$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.297,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed M8043c2,209$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.2913732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed B847c2,173$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3111149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed B857c2,145$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.1250051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked B856c2,140$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.47250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed B856c2,060$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.617643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked M8047c2,028$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.062,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed M8049c2,016$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.3281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked M8053c2,003$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.052,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked B857c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1404654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed M8080c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40020750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed B836c2,000$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.955935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad7b…779cbacked B863c1,920$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked B844c1,876$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.638038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked B841c1,855$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.1920355.2%112 W · 91 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked B839c1,834$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.916920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed B857c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0268256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed B856c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9924262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed M8042c1,787$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.292,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed B859c1,752$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.1742651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed M8041c1,708$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.7124339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked B859c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed M8041c1,625$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.741,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked B841c1,547$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.348319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed B859c1,525$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed B859c1,522$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked B858c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed M8062c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed M8051c1,494$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.974,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed B856c1,466$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.9446143.4%200 W · 261 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed B827c1,447$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3821143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed B855c1,401$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.0757641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed M8062c1,400$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.7211061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed M8042c1,400$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9925145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed B856c1,388$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.911,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked M8057c1,379$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.875145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed B856c1,350$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.518547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.