CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ffcfc87c00f1a85fc3a0acc86f16419f8c780fd409db9de5ca434bb623a6a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,785,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,355,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,785,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed FUT Esports | 43c | 326,705$141,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,216.03 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Vitality | 57c | 151,395$85,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,450.19 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed FUT Esports | 21c | 86,247$18,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,111.82 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed FUT Esports | 25c | 76,300$19,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,255.9 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed FUT Esports | 26c | 52,303$13,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,439.34 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 56c | 49,999$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,999.63 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed5…b8a5backed FUT Esports | 0c | 48,630$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Vitality | 63c | 46,748$29,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,501.49 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 79c | 45,000$35,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FUT Esports | 19c | 43,678$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,119.64 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked FUT Esports | 15c | 43,348$6,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,418.89 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FUT Esports | 28c | 42,900$12,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,157.07 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Vitality | 56c | 35,251$19,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,510.45 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed FUT Esports | 44c | 34,581$15,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,215.62 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Vitality | 79c | 30,782$24,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,464.2 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FUT Esports | 23c | 30,512$7,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,134.45 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.91 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FUT Esports | 18c | 26,491$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,768.36 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Vitality | 57c | 26,316$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,315.79 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…d87cbacked FUT Esports | 19c | 24,307$4,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,618.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FUT Esports | 21c | 23,546$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.67 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Vitality | 79c | 22,663$17,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.19 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Vitality | 78c | 20,513$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.82 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Vitality | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Vitality | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed FUT Esports | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Vitality | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.96 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports | 11c | 19,328$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.09 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports | 43c | 17,875$7,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,706.11 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed FUT Esports | 17c | 16,913$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.71 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Vitality | 56c | 15,602$8,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,864.92 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Vitality | 79c | 15,000$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Vitality | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.97 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed FUT Esports | 18c | 14,311$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.07 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb316…c1a2backed FUT Esports | 22c | 13,002$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked FUT Esports | 18c | 13,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports | 31c | 12,946$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.21 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked FUT Esports | 38c | 12,500$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.63 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…d9f6backed FUT Esports | 17c | 12,208$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports | 33c | 12,000$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…d370backed Vitality | 57c | 11,802$6,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked FUT Esports | 15c | 11,716$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.66 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 34c | 11,023$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782.02 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…7e93backed FUT Esports | 18c | 11,014$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…2aa1backed FUT Esports | 21c | 10,932$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed FUT Esports | 17c | 10,731$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.3 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed FUT Esports | 5c | 10,648$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.83 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports | 18c | 10,521$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.69 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 19c | 10,016$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Vitality | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed FUT Esports | 35c | 9,879$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.42 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 35c | 9,262$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.77 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed FUT Esports | 17c | 9,035$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.91 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…9b43backed Vitality | 79c | 8,494$6,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Vitality | 72c | 8,314$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.02 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked FUT Esports | 7c | 8,166$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.63 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked FUT Esports | 14c | 8,087$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.47 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FUT Esports | 19c | 8,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Vitality | 76c | 7,883$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.28 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…1071backed Vitality | 79c | 7,700$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed FUT Esports | 17c | 7,697$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.49 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…e4d2backed Vitality | 80c | 7,659$6,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed FUT Esports | 19c | 7,605$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.57 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Vitality | 79c | 7,221$5,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.37 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed FUT Esports | 8c | 7,127$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.23 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed FUT Esports | 15c | 6,857$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.96 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed FUT Esports | 44c | 6,204$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.82 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked FUT Esports | 29c | 6,169$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.69 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked FUT Esports | 23c | 6,161$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.25 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked FUT Esports | 19c | 6,000$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.39 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FUT Esports | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed FUT Esports | 15c | 5,715$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.3 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed FUT Esports | 25c | 5,508$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.45 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…de17backed FUT Esports | 4c | 5,480$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.28 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…060abacked FUT Esports | 22c | 5,300$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked FUT Esports | 19c | 5,249$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.4 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Vitality | 78c | 5,153$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.38 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FUT Esports | 17c | 5,006$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…8931backed Vitality | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed FUT Esports | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Vitality | 64c | 5,000$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.2 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Vitality | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.98 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed FUT Esports | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x525b…c7c7backed FUT Esports | 33c | 4,945$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed FUT Esports | 12c | 4,862$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.26 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed FUT Esports | 19c | 4,697$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…6511backed Vitality | 64c | 4,682$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports | 28c | 4,680$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked FUT Esports | 1c | 4,517$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Vitality | 79c | 4,500$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Vitality | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.98 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed FUT Esports | 6c | 4,417$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.37 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Vitality | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Vitality | 66c | 4,368$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.88 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed FUT Esports | 44c | 4,334$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed FUT Esports | 22c | 4,325$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.55 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 79c | 4,313$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.98 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…ca4ebacked Vitality | 78c | 4,307$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.