CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba2e35ff8b5564b5bf41f860e8b7e18aa25e728fe983a2e10c6830153e68e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Vitality, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 57,163$25,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,208.56 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…d370backed Vitality | 55c | 14,492$7,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,982 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked FUT Esports | 45c | 12,383$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,768.64 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Vitality | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 10,547$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.96 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Vitality | 54c | 10,525$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.5 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.98 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 4,997$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked FUT Esports | 47c | 4,692$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.65 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Vitality | 54c | 4,427$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.58 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Vitality | 54c | 3,764$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.72 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FUT Esports | 44c | 3,501$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.54 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…1c12backed Vitality | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Vitality | 53c | 3,379$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.05 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports | 46c | 3,020$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.31 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Vitality | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Vitality | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Vitality | 55c | 3,000$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…8ca6backed Vitality | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.88 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FUT Esports | 46c | 2,591$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.29 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FUT Esports | 46c | 2,506$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.3 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed FUT Esports | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…5998backed Vitality | 56c | 2,000$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.06 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Vitality | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Vitality | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports | 47c | 2,000$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.2 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Vitality | 55c | 1,956$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Vitality | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Vitality | 53c | 1,819$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.83 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed FUT Esports | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUT Esports | 44c | 1,780$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.74 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Vitality | 55c | 1,687$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.9 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed FUT Esports | 43c | 1,680$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.58 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FUT Esports | 44c | 1,635$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.64 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality | 55c | 1,625$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Vitality | 55c | 1,524$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.93 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Vitality | 55c | 1,496$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.87 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…c3debacked Vitality | 55c | 1,336$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Vitality | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Vitality | 55c | 1,277$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.45 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Vitality | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed FUT Esports | 46c | 1,111$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.63 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Vitality | 54c | 1,029$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.77 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FUT Esports | 43c | 1,025$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.09 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Vitality | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed Vitality | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 53c | 999$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.47 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…c297backed Vitality | 57c | 984.39$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed Vitality | 57c | 944.26$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.88 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Vitality | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…b865backed Vitality | 56c | 875.86$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…c3e7backed Vitality | 54c | 863.91$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports | 46c | 828$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Vitality | 55c | 799.99$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.99 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed FUT Esports | 43c | 776.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.89 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Vitality | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Vitality | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed FUT Esports | 41c | 686.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.32 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Vitality | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Vitality | 55c | 652.24$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.73 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed FUT Esports | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Vitality | 58c | 611.79$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.84 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Vitality | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Vitality | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…8588backed Vitality | 55c | 588.82$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.65 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked FUT Esports | 44c | 569.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.19 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Vitality | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed FUT Esports | 46c | 544$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed FUT Esports | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked FUT Esports | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Vitality | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed FUT Esports | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Vitality | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Vitality | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Vitality | 54c | 489.15$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.14 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FUT Esports | 48c | 487.5$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa11…e3c0backed Vitality | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Vitality | 54c | 448$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Vitality | 54c | 436.48$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.7 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Vitality | 54c | 406.48$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Vitality | 57c | 405.22$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.98 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Vitality | 54c | 401.06$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.57 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed FUT Esports | 44c | 400$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Vitality | 53c | 400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vitality | 56c | 400$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…5606backed Vitality | 54c | 400$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Vitality | 54c | 391.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.34 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Vitality | 56c | 375.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Vitality | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Vitality | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Vitality | 54c | 363.43$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Vitality | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed FUT Esports | 47c | 352.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Vitality | 54c | 335.74$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Vitality | 56c | 334.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…481dbacked Vitality | 55c | 326.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed FUT Esports | 45c | 309$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.