TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: England (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Englandof England, Costa Rica
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Costa Rica55c11,617$6,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,415.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Costa Rica58c3,510$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.7243248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Costa Rica42c2,409$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.7312248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed England42c2,375$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.116939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed England41c2,246$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.544348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed England48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.995356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed England41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9526445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked England50c1,964$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.7813843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked England41c1,723$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.8889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed England38c1,414$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.134330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked England41c1,352$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.4414061.4%86 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked England55c1,341$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.916246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed England42c1,264$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.63,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x034a…e968backed England39c1,257$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7671315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Costa Rica63c1,123$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.442,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed England38c1,040$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.181,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Costa Rica58c990.76$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.6417748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked England39c959.97$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.5810042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed England42c899.96$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.9839951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed England45c897.22$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.161,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed England41c860.81$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.815534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed England50c846.17$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5826459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Costa Rica58c836.69$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.183,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc187…775fbacked Costa Rica55c659.04$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.841353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Costa Rica56c613.14$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Costa Rica57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34214051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed England23c588.23$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5725753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Costa Rica61c499.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9913351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Costa Rica63c476.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…e5e9backed Costa Rica44c455.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed England53c383.03$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0613830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed England58c376.07$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0613653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed England42c354$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.322,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked England44c339.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Costa Rica60c308.13$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.71,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…cb2ebacked England59c300$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked England41c299.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Costa Rica59c297.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Costa Rica46c275$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Costa Rica59c266.97$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5167354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0abb…d188backed England39c250.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.064940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Costa Rica59c245.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed England41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.936534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Costa Rica42c239.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010848.1%52 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed England42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15657.1%32 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked England39c231.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.31,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Costa Rica49c229.83$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.399555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed England51c219.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7919935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked England46c217.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.663737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed England48c215.76$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed England48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed England56c201.39$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6115140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed England43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11412724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked England44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8212154.5%66 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Costa Rica57c175.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003132.3%10 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Costa Rica56c175$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d17…0d91backed Costa Rica59c169.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Costa Rica60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Costa Rica59c153.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed England41c151.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8941857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Costa Rica59c151$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.099052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Costa Rica61c146.08$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Costa Rica60c145.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed England44c112.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.016253.2%33 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Costa Rica61c111.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9984751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed England42c109.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5247935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed England42c108.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7117145%77 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed England55c103.39$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.434,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked England40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Costa Rica58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5823540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c88…0e4dbacked England26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.153321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe62f…fca5backed England55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.155749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Costa Rica39c90.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.922,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e26…ecc5backed Costa Rica58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…3378backed Costa Rica61c84.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.17757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked England48c83.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.526133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8f…29b9backed England43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a66…d982backed England25c79.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Costa Rica58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.56126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Costa Rica55c73.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x81e5…3303backed Costa Rica68c73.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked England42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.435147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1cd…896abacked England62c71.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.224831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed England42c70.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8931554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed England38c65.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.555153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3da…b7adbacked Costa Rica46c64.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed England43c62.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.11,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Costa Rica59c62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.581,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked England47c61.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5470948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked England41c59.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.970750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9b…49a7backed England41c58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Costa Rica48c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8122052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Costa Rica56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307356.2%41 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed Costa Rica58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016863.1%106 W · 62 L+0.8wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed England56c51.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.516761.2%41 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Costa Rica59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306167.2%41 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Costa Rica62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Costa Rica58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed England43c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.612848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee99…b285backed Costa Rica59c49.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.