Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: England (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787be8da72177ff82552ea659638afa4d0caea43b8fa9c8cde3a2023c21a4f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Englandof England, Costa Rica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Costa Rica | 55c | 11,617$6,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,415.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Costa Rica | 58c | 3,510$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.72 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Costa Rica | 42c | 2,409$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.73 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed England | 42c | 2,375$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.11 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed England | 41c | 2,246$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.54 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed England | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed England | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.95 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked England | 50c | 1,964$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.78 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked England | 41c | 1,723$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.88 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed England | 38c | 1,414$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.1 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked England | 41c | 1,352$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.44 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked England | 55c | 1,341$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.91 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed England | 42c | 1,264$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.6 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…e968backed England | 39c | 1,257$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Costa Rica | 63c | 1,123$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.44 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed England | 38c | 1,040$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.18 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Costa Rica | 58c | 990.76$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.64 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked England | 39c | 959.97$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.58 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed England | 42c | 899.96$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.98 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed England | 45c | 897.22$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.16 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed England | 41c | 860.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed England | 50c | 846.17$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.58 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Costa Rica | 58c | 836.69$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.18 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…775fbacked Costa Rica | 55c | 659.04$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Costa Rica | 56c | 613.14$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.88 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Costa Rica | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed England | 23c | 588.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.57 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Costa Rica | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Costa Rica | 63c | 476.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…e5e9backed Costa Rica | 44c | 455.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed England | 53c | 383.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.06 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed England | 58c | 376.07$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed England | 42c | 354$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked England | 44c | 339.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Costa Rica | 60c | 308.13$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.7 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked England | 59c | 300$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked England | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Costa Rica | 59c | 297.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Costa Rica | 46c | 275$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Costa Rica | 59c | 266.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…d188backed England | 39c | 250.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Costa Rica | 59c | 245.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed England | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Costa Rica | 42c | 239.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…4a63backed England | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked England | 39c | 231.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Costa Rica | 49c | 229.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed England | 51c | 219.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked England | 46c | 217.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed England | 48c | 215.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed England | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed England | 56c | 201.39$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed England | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked England | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Costa Rica | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Costa Rica | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…0d91backed Costa Rica | 59c | 169.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Costa Rica | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Costa Rica | 59c | 153.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed England | 41c | 151.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Costa Rica | 59c | 151$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Costa Rica | 61c | 146.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Costa Rica | 60c | 145.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed England | 44c | 112.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Costa Rica | 61c | 111.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed England | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed England | 42c | 108.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed England | 55c | 103.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked England | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Costa Rica | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…0e4dbacked England | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed England | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Costa Rica | 39c | 90.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Costa Rica | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed Costa Rica | 61c | 84.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked England | 48c | 83.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed England | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…d982backed England | 25c | 79.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Costa Rica | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Costa Rica | 55c | 73.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e5…3303backed Costa Rica | 68c | 73.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…516abacked England | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…896abacked England | 62c | 71.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed England | 42c | 70.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed England | 38c | 65.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…b7adbacked Costa Rica | 46c | 64.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed England | 43c | 62.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Costa Rica | 59c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked England | 47c | 61.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked England | 41c | 59.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…49a7backed England | 41c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Costa Rica | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Costa Rica | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Costa Rica | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed England | 56c | 51.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Costa Rica | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Costa Rica | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Costa Rica | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed England | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…b285backed Costa Rica | 59c | 49.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: England (-2.5)this page
- England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. Costa Rica: Costa Rica O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: England O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.