Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90606c3ba7302e2ce3fc367e3aa86bba22a6bc174f1e2adee838e656ad1f15e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 13,193$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.88 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 11,148$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.2 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 72c | 9,710$6,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.66 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 16c | 8,143$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.15 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Over | 74c | 4,469$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.76 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 3,323$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 12c | 2,557$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 80c | 1,661$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.15 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 15c | 1,472$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 14c | 1,454$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.79 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 18c | 1,317$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.94 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 883.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 33c | 848.48$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Under | 17c | 579.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 69c | 531.6$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.11 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 15c | 483.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 473.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 18c | 468.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 77c | 462.9$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…d972backed Under | 32c | 414.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 15c | 353.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 13c | 353$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Under | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 15c | 168.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Under | 16c | 165.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 16c | 153.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 31c | 141.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 10c | 138.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 25c | 124.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…b27bbacked Under | 30c | 118.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 17c | 116.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 17c | 105.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 15c | 102$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 30c | 97.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 26c | 94.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 15c | 90.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 17c | 87.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…3a2abacked Under | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Under | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Over | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Over | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Over | 75c | 33.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1d5dbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…00d3backed Over | 77c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 76c | 16.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5this page
- England vs. Costa Rica: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. Costa Rica: Costa Rica O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: England O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: England O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)England won
- Spread: England (-2.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.