TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc91c…bde0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.93
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$5.25
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.91
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$7.46
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$25.41
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.07
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.64
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$10.44
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.86
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$19.46
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.76
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+113%+$42.32
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$11.01
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$7.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$9.24
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.91
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$41.12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.25
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$22.13
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.56
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$17.87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.32
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$8.98
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.04
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$41.69
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.48
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.4
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.62
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.98
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.36
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$15.77
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+173.3%+$43.05
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29%+$6.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.