TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$521,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$596,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x780a…84f0backed Over72c201,634$145,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,079.851776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under27c100,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,00016331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Over75c79,138$59,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,066.042740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under26c58,330$15,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,179.233,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c53,621$17,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,267.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c41,883$12,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,234.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under29c9,900$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.231,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a82…30aebacked Over16c9,400$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,864887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+113.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under34c9,079$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.7744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under28c8,059$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.6544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under31c8,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83bd…dc80backed Over8c6,618$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,064.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+498.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under30c6,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Under41c5,357$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb11f…8d0cbacked Over8c5,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5902100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,009.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c4,430$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.452,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac8…986fbacked Over70c4,308$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.544240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under32c3,479$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.4736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over64c3,147$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.32,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Over73c2,755$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.7514734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under17c2,543$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.371,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under30c2,457$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.983,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under26c2,100$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5464,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over62c2,031$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.1759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Over69c2,029$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.993826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under38c1,827$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.4416050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Over70c1,437$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.196516.9%11 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under36c1,300$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4738243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over70c1,208$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.522,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c1,157$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over61c1,111$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3341968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Over69c1,079$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.553360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe39a…efc1backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under26c951$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.692,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under23c865$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.952,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over68c838.24$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2411851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under31c837.4$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.622,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd282…9e22backed Over69c809.28$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Over67c619.4$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.47951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under33c616.67$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.123637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Under34c595.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9913830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over68c570.85$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6712663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e1f…92febacked Over71c564.4$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.43221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under39c539.88$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14513530.4%41 W · 94 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Over66c499.7$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.96942%29 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under31c455.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3625049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under35c447.83$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.741,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Under37c434.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.941450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c389.9$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over67c374.4$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8828258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Over41c365$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3513552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd492…7469backed Over70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.146259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over64c348$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0647744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Under31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d81…8d1abacked Under32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Under34c298.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9922633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over68c261$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.523,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over60c250.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.379168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under29c240.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under29c240.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8148152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under34c234.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.778234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22c…881fbacked Under30c231.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.57933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+172.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b0…acdebacked Under30c213.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.954731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under35c202.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Under30c183.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.156141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under8c180.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Under30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5418340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Under39c173.61$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7121146.9%99 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f82…91e5backed Under34c171.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under31c171.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0126537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over72c169.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.611338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under32c160.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9347546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7312343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1606…9a7cbacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over62c144.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.091,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9312060.8%73 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b94…87d9backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9311164.9%72 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under30c140.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.771,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over61c140.6$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8325865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under26c128$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.282,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb176…567cbacked Under30c121.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0813050%65 W · 65 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0968…0165backed Under30c120.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.053655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under29c116.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3336045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Over69c114.49$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.499366.7%62 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under31c109.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8285851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4252455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3120651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409926.3%26 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.