TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$392,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under19c25,069$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.962,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c15,208$3,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,656.684,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under11c13,821$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over77c12,515$9,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.4710355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under29c12,065$3,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,453.9749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under25c11,764$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.023,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c8,405$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under26c8,207$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.9636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c7,944$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.491,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under25c7,758$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.4920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over75c7,427$5,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.7210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Over75c6,700$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6752487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under24c6,670$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.421,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c6,543$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.282,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over75c5,829$4,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.238252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under25c4,549$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.881,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over75c4,086$3,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under10c4,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under25c3,700$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.11,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over73c3,225$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.881,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…09f8backed Over73c3,120$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under28c3,114$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.9444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c2,943$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over76c2,934$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.517732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over75c2,845$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.431,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over71c2,799$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.5712241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under27c2,787$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.2477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Over76c2,755$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.091361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under8c2,732$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.8316325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over75c2,722$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.524148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.589845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under30c2,501$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over71c2,237$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.7585550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under22c2,099$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.379233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6ca…b27abacked Over70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Under18c1,897$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4912254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Under8c1,839$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Over76c1,798$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.448445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Over74c1,642$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.811436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over73c1,597$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under25c1,519$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.793,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under26c1,490$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Over75c1,467$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.677263.9%46 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under23c1,378$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.091,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over74c1,339$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.262,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.338561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Over75c1,329$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.163855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under25c1,275$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.511,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over75c1,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under20c1,156$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.951,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under25c1,071$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under24c1,048$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1b1…36dbbacked Over75c1,042$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Over71c1,041$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1412958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over74c1,020$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3728258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30016152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under25c999.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Over75c950$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.59753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over75c948$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23723747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over79c942.42$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19517568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under8c900$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728835.2%31 W · 57 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under10c900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x929e…6a87backed Over75c882.53$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.633565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under24c852.97$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.683,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Under25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under24c797.17$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.321,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over75c782.67$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.679462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under17c777$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0923036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Over74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18221837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under17c674.79$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7131156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under24c664.2$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4143635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed Over75c661.15$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.292669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under5c659$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.542,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…94aebacked Over76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.892466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under10c640.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1187837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Under8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over75c612.48$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.121,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Under17c592.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over75c553.33$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.338367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under5c550.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.522,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cf7…8279backed Over75c527.37$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under10c520$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over73c508.46$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6634964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xcd5d…adc1backed Over75c501.97$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12539932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over80c500$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.674,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae83…0f9dbacked Under21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054833.3%16 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbce4…d6d6backed Under8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+263.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017432.2%56 W · 118 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under7c479.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.082,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under25c451.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a6…e544backed Over75c451.71$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.932378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Over78c446.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.675286.5%45 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.