TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,876 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe782…bb92backed Yes2c600$12 inLost-$124030%12 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c498.7$377 inWon+$122.183,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c477.19$117 inLost-$117.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb148…b5bfbacked Yes26c319.74$84 inLost-$83.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes17c275.96$47 inLost-$47.1543145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c167.22$124 inWon+$43.482,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x304e…4747backed Yes8c156$12 inLost-$12.482321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb276…3b11backed Yes28c95.82$27 inLost-$26.832010%2 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No79c71.05$56 inWon+$14.9283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca06…b2c4backed No79c68.61$54 inWon+$14.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c59.98$43 inWon+$17.392,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa17f…fe46backed Yes25c40$10 inLost-$104129.3%12 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c27.31$20 inWon+$7.12,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed No79c25.32$20 inWon+$5.3222466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No75c15$11 inWon+$3.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.