Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e975c34a5d834c6a7115c249890cf9497e1a1cfcaa89cfa6de16ff8c76ed6a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 27,137$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 6c | 20,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…4682backed Over | 6c | 18,182$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 6c | 17,592$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.56 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 5c | 14,891$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 11,053$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.73 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…6d36backed Over | 1c | 6,216$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 1c | 3,718$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 7c | 3,046$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 5c | 2,983$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 2,813$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 5c | 2,281$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Over | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 8c | 1,917$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Over | 5c | 1,426$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 5c | 1,346$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 5c | 1,302$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 5c | 1,166$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 143 | 17.5%25 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…9fb4backed Over | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…020dbacked Over | 5c | 1,045$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 5c | 1,029$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Over | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 5c | 983.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 5c | 924.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…6628backed Over | 2c | 790$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 5c | 785.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 5c | 738.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 5c | 694.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 5c | 573.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 6c | 568.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 5c | 536$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 5c | 527.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 5c | 462.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…a1c8backed Over | 5c | 459.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Over | 5c | 454.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Over | 5c | 454.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 5c | 370.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…dc07backed Over | 5c | 272.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 5c | 254.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…fd42backed Over | 6c | 194$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 10c | 167.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5this page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.