TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c6,871$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under45c5,318$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.039551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under45c5,054$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.322,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over57c3,492$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.8213454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c3,215$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c2,274$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.763,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over70c1,898$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.731,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.715959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Under45c1,556$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4496…97c0backed Over56c1,553$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.323268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Under46c1,524$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed Under46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010541.9%44 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over55c1,259$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.772,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c1,077$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.112,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under42c999.88$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.951,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8645445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Over56c866.07$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.076243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26c…6ef8backed Under45c777.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over56c720$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.816655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over56c698.16$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.198652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae4…83dfbacked Over55c675.22$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.453751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under5c639.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under44c628.45$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under44c555$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.245038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Over56c453.21$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.413743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf585…11c0backed Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-66.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c441.93$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.271,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Over55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18016549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over58c396.55$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5512556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1444144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c331.83$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.642,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Over56c329.68$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.069231.5%29 W · 63 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c323.76$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.214,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c299.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.31,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over56c291.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0720224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c287.39$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over55c259.8$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9110562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c251.94$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.183,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Over56c244.64$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.646258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9956151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Over56c217.87$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.863551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c216.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c204.44$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.711,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Under47c192.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.594926.5%13 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3097…ea81backed Over55c181$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.451338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x332d…cf77backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4151045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4116750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over57c158.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9922122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over59c143.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.229168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9335848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c130.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Over57c124.56$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.564949%24 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Over57c115.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7215227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a11…bcdcbacked Over58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.26342.9%27 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6c…aae5backed Under46c108.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.744934.7%17 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under42c107.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0826537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1a…261ebacked Over56c104.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.073762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under45c104.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.27037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4532254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6efd…ccb0backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Over57c99.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.998042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under42c99.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9110845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898c…e4c3backed Over58c86.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.47642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b86…ff5bbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.215556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c46…5239backed Under45c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.16031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under44c77.84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.259047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under42c74.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7536838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb81…e68bbacked Over58c73.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.757533.3%25 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf3…8f91backed Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Over57c69.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.829766.7%198 W · 99 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc28…ede2backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.974445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c68.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Under45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Under46c65.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028545.6%130 W · 155 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under18c64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.522,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over58c62.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0763229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1926…7f27backed Over56c60.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.713647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3423544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9a…c84abacked Over56c57.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51560%9 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over56c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6447744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…5099backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5524050%120 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c87…f576backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573941%16 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d46…1eacbacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7230148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e90…4a0dbacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.726018.3%11 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Under43c51.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1911147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Under46c51.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.547346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…b3dabacked Over56c51.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.582035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b2…5805backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2115635.9%56 W · 100 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc5d…5316backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56045%27 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06aa…fbf3backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4510555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.