TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,137 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over72c3,000$2,150 inLost-$2,149.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under29c2,198$627 inWon+$1,570.746253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under28c706.64$198 inWon+$508.782365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Under53c490.57$260 inWon+$230.577153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under53c322$171 inWon+$151.3477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c289.99$159 inWon+$130.913,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under53c250$133 inWon+$117.512871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c231$125 inWon+$106.262,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under53c230.74$123 inWon+$107.592,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under54c150.73$82 inWon+$69.126537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Under29c115.74$34 inWon+$82.1910947.7%52 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf295…667abacked Under11c99.99$11 inWon+$88.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+277.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over45c99.04$45 inLost-$44.5618548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Under20c93.13$19 inWon+$74.512145.5%55 W · 66 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over80c60$48 inLost-$4820850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under44c50$22 inWon+$282,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Over56c48.21$27 inLost-$2715050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over44c41.3$18 inLost-$18.172,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e7…9a37backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost-$152825%7 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under56c25$14 inWon+$112,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under54c20$11 inWon+$9.137037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0473…fe8cbacked Over80c12.5$10 inLost-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.