Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x676f1581bd5ed4837064429bfefec2704a2c9a951a36820c51c619a9f6d5f5fa

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,426 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	80c	35,353$28,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,078.6	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	18c	19,800$3,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,633.5	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over	29c	8,656$2,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,496.63	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	72c	4,664$3,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,298.77	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over	15c	3,498$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.71	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	72c	3,420$2,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$957.46	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	29c	2,096$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.6	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Over	29c	1,724$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	28c	1,525$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.9	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	27c	1,463$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.42	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	27c	992.44$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.5	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	74c	916.43$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.27	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	12c	867.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.42	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	72c	789.63$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.34	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	15c	766.99$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.69	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over	29c	727.14$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.87	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…383abacked Over	29c	689.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdd6f…96c8backed Over	30c	666.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+154.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	30c	656.22$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.87	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	35.2%50 W · 92 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Over	29c	517.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Over	22c	500$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	96	28.1%27 W · 69 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under	71c	499.99$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	465	46.7%217 W · 248 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	71c	443.47$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.22	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Over	35c	431.31$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e90…4782backed Over	30c	422.79$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+61.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	72c	421$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.08	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	27c	417.2$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.07	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Over	27c	400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	28c	387.2$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.05	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	72c	357$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.11	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	72c	356.28$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.94	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cca…2841backed Over	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under	71c	331.94$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.03	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	71c	331.07$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.01	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	71c	302.4$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.15	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	13c	300$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.55	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over	28c	285.71$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	195	29.7%58 W · 137 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda8…fc16backed Over	28c	267.86$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	26cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	7c	251$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x529c…210ebacked Over	29c	242.64$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Over	13c	223.08$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	150	50.7%76 W · 74 L	+7.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	71c	214.92$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.96	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over	32c	206.7$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.91	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under	73c	205.48$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.48	167	53.9%90 W · 77 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Over	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	129	34.1%44 W · 85 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Over	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	109	34.9%38 W · 71 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b40…e937backed Under	73c	184.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.95	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	68c	183.16$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.61	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd053…114cbacked Over	29c	155.17$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over	29c	138.73$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.9	156	50%78 W · 78 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over	28c	138.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.77	210	29%61 W · 149 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b4…146cbacked Over	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over	15c	122$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	249	35.3%88 W · 161 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1e…f4edbacked Over	30c	118.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over	29c	106.9$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Over	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Over	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	189	52.4%99 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	72c	67.2$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	475	46.1%219 W · 256 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb36c…0e2fbacked Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a3…4fdabacked Over	28c	60.76$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.27	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.34per pick	49cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed Under	77c	58.44$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.44	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	29c	55.79$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa60e…1f1bbacked Over	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	311	47.9%149 W · 162 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Over	29c	51.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-4.9wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	70c	51.4$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.42	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	76c	45.55$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe2…768dbacked Over	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Over	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	136	33.1%45 W · 91 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Under	76c	32.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87fb…6543backed Under	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Under	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fd…fe29backed Under	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0783…00d3backed Under	72c	16.68$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.68	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5this page
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event