TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,661 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c3,000$1,400 inLost-$1,399.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under54c1,904$1,019 inWon+$884.534470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under79c897.99$709 inWon+$189.1811745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under53c566.04$300 inWon+$266.042365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under53c512.79$272 inWon+$241.016654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Under79c312.66$247 inWon+$65.663658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under79c292.03$231 inWon+$61.3326155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over43c253.33$109 inLost-$108.8414342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under78c160$125 inWon+$35.483,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under79c158$125 inWon+$33.182,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over22c157.79$35 inLost-$34.7180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under79c157.79$124 inWon+$33.472,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under72c121.96$88 inWon+$34.0910849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under57c119.71$68 inWon+$51.482,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdc7b…8fb6backed Under79c117.09$92 inWon+$24.592254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under53c25.64$14 inWon+$12.0511065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Under58c18.09$10 inWon+$7.6918053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.