Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc8de56fad4ec7a4f7d52d704dd7d4c72d6b3f8ab48f5fb994e762d813ed65a5

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $86,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,495 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9db8…2effbacked Under	13c	14,900$1,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937	207	31.4%65 W · 142 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	78c	13,831$10,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,030.6	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	17c	9,522$1,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.61	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	13c	7,490$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.03	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…d510backed Under	28c	3,551$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	13c	2,627$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.95	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under	14c	1,904$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.61	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	24c	1,885$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.45	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbdd…9ba3backed Under	15c	1,565$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.75	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	14c	1,292$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.56	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Under	27c	1,010$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.03	124	32.3%40 W · 84 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6748…151bbacked Under	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	14c	999.97$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under	21c	990.27$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.96	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	14c	978.18$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.94	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	13c	957.62$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.8	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	18c	805.02$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.88	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under	13c	719.53$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.53	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	14c	630.9$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.71	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	17c	618.3$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.65	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Under	17c	595.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over	80c	506.13$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.99	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under	13c	412.2$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.59	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over	76c	394.87$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.87	102	73.5%75 W · 27 L	+15.0wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	14c	279.47$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.13	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	24c	261$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.59	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under	13c	257.95$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.89	368	38.6%142 W · 226 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…4d8abacked Over	62c	242.06$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.06	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	39c	213$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d8…7ba2backed Over	66c	180$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	13c	171.6$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Under	29c	151.3$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.23	120	28.3%34 W · 86 L	-10.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b94…87d9backed Over	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	111	64.9%72 W · 39 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	24c	146$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.01	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over	73c	135.75$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.75	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…44aabacked Over	74c	135.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.37	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	10c	132$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under	38c	112.06$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.96	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under	15c	108.42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.26	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	206	51.9%107 W · 99 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb2…ca8ebacked Under	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	82	22%18 W · 64 L	-7.8wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Under	13c	99.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	12c	99.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	79c	98.37$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.75	477	44.2%211 W · 266 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over	61c	98.36$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.36	124	41.9%52 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Under	23c	84.57$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over	63c	79.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.58	91	68.1%62 W · 29 L	+13.8wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	126	48.4%61 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	73c	65$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.55	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Under	16c	62.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over	60c	60$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	208	50.5%105 W · 103 L	+16.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Under	26c	43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Under	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x746f…8dc7backed Over	60c	33.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	27	81.5%22 W · 5 L	+5.5wins	+0.20per pick	61cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf9a0…6e74backed Over	79c	28.29$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.04	55	80%44 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	76cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc33…729cbacked Over	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…41c8backed Over	65c	17.66$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	74c	16.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.28	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5this page
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event