TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof Texas Rangers, Boston Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$507,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$515,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5966…f804backed Texas Rangers46c320,876$147,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,602.743455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Boston Red Sox54c290,126$156,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,457.7423948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox52c16,403$8,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,802.264,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox55c13,300$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9851,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox57c12,418$7,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,335.42,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox54c11,440$6,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,262.313,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers46c10,914$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,020.2498149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Texas Rangers45c10,211$4,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,594.83735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers45c9,241$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,187.495045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Boston Red Sox56c8,928$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.323551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox54c8,198$4,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.9585645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox49c7,856$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.4611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers40c7,470$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers44c6,607$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.741,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers50c5,628$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.614,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Boston Red Sox55c3,750$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.57047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers36c3,401$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.748,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Texas Rangers50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60016753.9%90 W · 77 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers46c3,141$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.391,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers45c2,740$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.135,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db6…d7afbacked Boston Red Sox55c2,321$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox72c2,305$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.4312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox66c2,305$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.5591252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers45c2,168$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.156,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers33c2,144$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.662,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers54c2,122$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.528,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Boston Red Sox54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Boston Red Sox51c1,858$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.971850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox55c1,805$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.051,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Boston Red Sox55c1,800$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox54c1,773$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.860043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7f…a160backed Texas Rangers46c1,751$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Boston Red Sox55c1,650$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.757950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox75c1,534$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.783,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Boston Red Sox55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54032850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Texas Rangers45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Texas Rangers2c1,091$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers45c1,083$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.582,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd737…b714backed Boston Red Sox55c1,015$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Boston Red Sox60c1,006$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.427450.7%139 W · 135 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Texas Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10681.5%1 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-81.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Boston Red Sox54c999.96$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9875248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Boston Red Sox54c999.96$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9811642.2%49 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox79c970$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.054,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Boston Red Sox55c909$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0520455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers45c906$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.71,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9340…e829backed Boston Red Sox55c885.85$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.631442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox60c883.88$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.554,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Texas Rangers30c862.4$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7211129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox59c847$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2788053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers45c810.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9569453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Texas Rangers47c809.07$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.087259.7%43 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox69c806.49$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.014,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers46c782.6$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox67c744.25$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.784,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Texas Rangers46c739.13$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers45c730$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.51,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers45c694$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.31,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Texas Rangers32c687.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Boston Red Sox74c678.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.983381.8%27 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Boston Red Sox68c661.86$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6679147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Boston Red Sox43c647.56$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1114858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Boston Red Sox55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3618658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers51c612.42$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.918,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Boston Red Sox70c599.95$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.984148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Texas Rangers45c548$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.637348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox55c542.51$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1348147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed Boston Red Sox59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Texas Rangers34c499.93$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9836729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d2…1945backed Texas Rangers10c465.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.421172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick37cpaid+160%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Boston Red Sox55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5522153.4%118 W · 103 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb035…d7cdbacked Texas Rangers46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014141.8%59 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers45c420$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1892,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Boston Red Sox55c418.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1840348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Boston Red Sox73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.967057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers45c404.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.251,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Boston Red Sox55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18021057.6%121 W · 89 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Texas Rangers27c390.71$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6754715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Boston Red Sox55c370$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.548354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Texas Rangers45c364.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.241,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Texas Rangers46c364.84$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.832,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Boston Red Sox55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411846.6%55 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Boston Red Sox55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1626953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Texas Rangers28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009933.3%33 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e56…40eebacked Texas Rangers46c338$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Texas Rangers6c333.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1711244.6%50 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Texas Rangers45c314.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.751,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Texas Rangers5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527231.3%85 W · 187 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Texas Rangers30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907833.3%26 W · 52 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Texas Rangers32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611134.2%38 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe231…93a5backed Texas Rangers45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed Boston Red Sox55c293.45$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.053672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Boston Red Sox55c289.15$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1219752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers25c266.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.232,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Texas Rangers45c260.01$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.521,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Texas Rangers55c249.45$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.220745.9%95 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Boston Red Sox51c242.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8823052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.