TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tampa Bay Raysof Boston Red Sox, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,307,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,465,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,307,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Tampa Bay Rays60c660,118$395,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264,672.966758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox39c245,293$96,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,868.984,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Boston Red Sox0c141,451$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.6140629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Boston Red Sox41c140,000$57,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,122.2731149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays60c139,867$83,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,258.222,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays60c124,642$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,641.6223846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Boston Red Sox40c120,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00013340.6%54 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Boston Red Sox42c103,682$43,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,475.6155053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed Tampa Bay Rays58c100,019$58,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,007.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Boston Red Sox40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0005248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox41c48,478$19,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,635.5138148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox40c41,711$16,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,667.111,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox40c39,676$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.991,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Boston Red Sox40c32,500$13,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,124.991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Boston Red Sox40c30,625$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,249.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox1c30,562$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.144,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Tampa Bay Rays59c30,125$17,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,235.94156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox40c28,008$11,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,234.13,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Tampa Bay Rays63c27,777$17,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.7126056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Tampa Bay Rays61c27,465$16,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,729.643554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox32c24,632$7,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,912.4111,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox40c24,583$9,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,855.022,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Boston Red Sox39c21,580$8,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,511.1128553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Tampa Bay Rays57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.9960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Boston Red Sox41c19,400$7,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,953.984156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox38c19,247$7,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3141,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays65c13,729$8,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.776,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Boston Red Sox40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox35c11,772$4,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,108.774,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox41c10,842$4,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,391.214,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Boston Red Sox40c10,308$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,118.5321644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox41c10,000$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1255,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox33c9,864$3,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.663,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox1c9,841$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6897944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays58c9,762$5,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100.0214248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays59c9,709$5,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,020.431,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox41c9,624$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.531,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Boston Red Sox39c8,723$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4022420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-61.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Boston Red Sox40c8,335$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33434942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox39c8,133$3,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.451,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox35c7,768$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.2912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays74c7,560$5,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.7295045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox41c7,412$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.416,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox42c6,642$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.251,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays58c6,640$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.8585645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Boston Red Sox41c6,098$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9928042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox42c5,905$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox40c5,866$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.321,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Tampa Bay Rays8c5,600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1508215.9%13 W · 69 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+71.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Tampa Bay Rays68c5,522$3,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.5827450.7%139 W · 135 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Tampa Bay Rays59c5,363$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.0415659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Tampa Bay Rays8c5,250$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,825.51723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d21…07cfbacked Tampa Bay Rays8c5,250$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,825.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.32per pick14cpaid+243%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Tampa Bay Rays8c5,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.24522.2%10 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+117.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Tampa Bay Rays8c5,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.24320.9%9 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick11cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b7d…492dbacked Tampa Bay Rays8c5,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.2450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+334.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fb9…ba87backed Tampa Bay Rays8c5,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+519.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d5…7146backed Tampa Bay Rays8c5,180$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,761.61338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+181%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65e5…0cadbacked Tampa Bay Rays8c5,180$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,761.63327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5412…6214backed Tampa Bay Rays5c5,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7501100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00044945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e29…5777backed Tampa Bay Rays7c4,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2002020%4 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+363.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Tampa Bay Rays7c4,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2001910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Boston Red Sox0c4,460$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.317417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox27c4,453$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.698,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Boston Red Sox43c4,369$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.6619248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox41c4,335$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.389,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays59c4,237$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.2922257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Tampa Bay Rays7c4,000$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725756.7%5 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Tampa Bay Rays7c4,000$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7251330.8%4 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick5cpaid+609.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays7c4,000$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7253013.3%4 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Tampa Bay Rays7c4,000$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7251010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tampa Bay Rays59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64098149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Tampa Bay Rays59c3,990$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.99037.8%34 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Boston Red Sox40c3,901$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.0727351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox2c3,887$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7160043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Boston Red Sox41c3,659$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox40c3,614$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.341,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Tampa Bay Rays7c3,600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3602119%4 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+97.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Tampa Bay Rays7c3,600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3604818.8%9 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick7cpaid+162.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox28c3,483$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.238,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed Tampa Bay Rays59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.834158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Boston Red Sox40c3,310$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3203531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox42c3,161$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.692,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…3776backed Tampa Bay Rays11c3,154$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+369.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Boston Red Sox43c3,150$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.57047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox32c3,126$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.368,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Tampa Bay Rays9c3,100$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8354619.6%9 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+122.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x062a…30f7backed Tampa Bay Rays9c3,100$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8101330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+123.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Tampa Bay Rays7c3,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001520%3 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Tampa Bay Rays7c3,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf7…f420backed Tampa Bay Rays7c3,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox41c3,000$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.282,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Boston Red Sox20c2,995$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9652228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc667…34cebacked Boston Red Sox7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+156.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Tampa Bay Rays8c2,800$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5906421.9%14 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Boston Red Sox43c2,791$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20028944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox40c2,593$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Tampa Bay Rays17c2,450$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid+81.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.