MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd500e617d0fca74f823c5724a45bea209cb36e3adb74b1ccf7dafaab21acd193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Boston Red Sox, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,307,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,465,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,307,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 660,118$395,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264,672.96 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 245,293$96,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,868.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Boston Red Sox | 0c | 141,451$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.61 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 140,000$57,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,122.27 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 139,867$83,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,258.22 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 124,642$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,641.62 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 120,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 103,682$43,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,475.61 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 100,019$58,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,007.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 48,478$19,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,635.51 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 41,711$16,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,667.11 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 39,676$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.99 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 32,500$13,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,124.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 30,625$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 1c | 30,562$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 30,125$17,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,235.9 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 28,008$11,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,234.1 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 27,777$17,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.71 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 27,465$16,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,729.6 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 24,632$7,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912.41 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 24,583$9,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,855.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 21,580$8,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,511.11 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 19,400$7,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,953.98 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 19,247$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 13,729$8,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 11,772$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 10,842$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.21 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 10,308$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.53 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 10,000$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 9,864$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.66 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 9,841$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 9,762$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.02 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 9,709$5,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.43 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 9,624$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.53 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 8,723$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 8,335$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 8,133$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.45 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 7,768$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 7,560$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.72 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 7,412$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 6,642$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.25 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 6,640$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.85 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 5,905$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 5,866$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.32 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 5,600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 5,522$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.58 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 5,363$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.04 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 5,250$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 5,250$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +243%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 5,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.2 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 5,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.2 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…492dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 5,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +334.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…ba87backed Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 5,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +519.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 5,180$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +181%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 5,180$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.6 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…6214backed Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 4,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +363.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 4,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Boston Red Sox | 0c | 4,460$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 4,453$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 4,369$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.66 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 4,335$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.29 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 4,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 4,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 5cpaid | +609.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 4,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…9cf9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 4,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 3,990$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.9 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 3,901$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.07 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 2c | 3,887$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 3,614$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.34 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 3,600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 3,600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 3,483$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.23 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 3,310$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 3,161$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.69 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 3,154$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +369.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 3,150$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.5 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 3,126$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 9c | 3,100$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…30f7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 9c | 3,100$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 3,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 3,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…f420backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 3,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 3,000$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.28 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 2,995$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.96 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…34cebacked Boston Red Sox | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 2,800$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 2,593$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 17c | 2,450$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.