MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0380c74d50fdae5d8773b6f16c64e24c068fd2fd7dd1f359a6f7e5a61c689d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 24,604$14,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,516.56 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 13,808$5,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,149.38 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 9,238$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,366.33 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 4,770$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.95 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 4,413$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 4,386$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.27 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,834$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,809$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,580$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.99 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 825$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 696.87$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 9c | 664.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 543.89$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.86 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 510$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 507.5$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 467.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 387.8$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 339$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 320.03$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 311.81$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 247.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 194.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 184$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 166.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 158$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 155.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 155.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 113$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 113$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 80.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 79.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 71.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 60.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 49.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 37.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…7360backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 36.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 33.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 33.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…c08bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 32.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…e650backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…f5bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 23.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Boston Red Sox | 68c | 21.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 17.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +10.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9790…7f39backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 14.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.