MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1762375dc40cbf324cbd1c39d34537d176a525b3642ee6d0ddbca9e56b6a663d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Philadelphia Phillies, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 237,861$164,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,443.47 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 115,706$32,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,793.61 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 100,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,999.91 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 41,174$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 32,090$24,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,206.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 24,000$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,439.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 23,660$16,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,334.6 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 22,859$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 22,847$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 21,978$16,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 16,682$11,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.49 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 16,129$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 15,411$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 10,160$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.68 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 8,952$7,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 7,327$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.31 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 7,172$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.85 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 6,717$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 6,046$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 6,041$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.98 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 5,661$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 5,384$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.66 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 5,197$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 4,555$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 4,447$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.21 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 4,100$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 3,675$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 3,519$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.44 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 3,000$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 2,262$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.22 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 2,203$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 2,129$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.31 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 2,097$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.36 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 1,878$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.36 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 1,786$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.69 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,654$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.77 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 1,616$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 1,466$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 1,414$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.68 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 1,352$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.12 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb081…4e7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,303$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 1,293$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 1,176$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.65 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 1,053$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 1,032$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 1,008$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 957.6$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.43 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 895.19$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 806.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.24 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 799.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…20a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 678$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 674.06$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 645.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…293fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 591.33$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 582.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 579.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 566.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…3198backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 558$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 528.65$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 521.17$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…f67dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 513.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…d16cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 507.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 504.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 481.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 470$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 456.74$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1175…b8cfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 448$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 446.06$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 435.43$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 419.95$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 388$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2081…6c5cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 388$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 383.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…2de1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 374.62$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 373.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 340$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 339.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 333.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 328.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…f099backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 322.45$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 320.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 318.65$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 297$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.