MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617bd276ccbc092f366d59dc997a4c67f13f809e7592498f15244933b56d9dcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Detroit Tigers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,943,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,128,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,943,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 584,881$234,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234,792.55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 403,000$163,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,700 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 60c | 377,267$224,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,756.26 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 59c | 163,614$96,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,081.56 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Houston Astros | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 59,999$36,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,399.77 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 60c | 55,927$33,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,245.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 60c | 53,272$31,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,308.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 43,185$26,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,604.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 59c | 33,000$19,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,379.05 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Houston Astros | 60c | 25,992$15,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,396.84 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Houston Astros | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Houston Astros | 60c | 22,425$13,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,969.88 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 59c | 21,482$12,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,774.13 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 19,621$7,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,456.27 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 18,000$7,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,380 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 58c | 15,174$8,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,311.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 15,064$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.84 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 60c | 15,000$8,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 14,116$6,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,264.05 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Houston Astros | 61c | 13,115$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 60c | 12,582$7,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Houston Astros | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Houston Astros | 62c | 11,008$6,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.96 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 9,954$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.32 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 9,652$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 46c | 6,456$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 5,778$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 62c | 5,397$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.79 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Houston Astros | 61c | 5,200$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Houston Astros | 58c | 4,916$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.8 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 4,615$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 4,573$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 48c | 4,293$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Houston Astros | 59c | 3,903$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.23 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Houston Astros | 56c | 3,500$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Detroit Tigers | 7c | 3,100$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 2,980$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.9 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 55c | 2,551$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.64 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Houston Astros | 60c | 2,508$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.33 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Houston Astros | 60c | 2,507$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.29 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Houston Astros | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 2,289$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.63 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Houston Astros | 61c | 2,222$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.58 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 2,210$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 2,147$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.92 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 62c | 2,141$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.31 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 1,992$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.28 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 76c | 1,903$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.41 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Houston Astros | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 65c | 1,600$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.89 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Houston Astros | 60c | 1,600$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 1,596$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 1,568$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.11 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 1,525$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Houston Astros | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 1,355$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 1,345$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,240$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,210$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 1,200$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 1,200$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,183$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.84 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,166$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 1,155$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.65 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Houston Astros | 58c | 1,122$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.71 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Houston Astros | 60c | 1,080$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.25 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,037$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.91 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 1,026$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.72 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,010$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.97 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Houston Astros | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 78c | 860.23$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Houston Astros | 64c | 854.02$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 60c | 849.9$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.34 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Houston Astros | 60c | 832.04$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.82 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 746.53$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 735.46$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.18 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 715$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Houston Astros | 58c | 706.9$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 685$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.85 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Houston Astros | 34c | 633.24$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.94 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 621.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 617.01$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 580$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 575$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Detroit Tigers | 16c | 560.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 530.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.