TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under43c72,446$31,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,293.9943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over57c25,000$14,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,25035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over57c20,496$11,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,591.954,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over57c8,703$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9634942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over57c7,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9908943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over57c6,202$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.4911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8505455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under45c4,232$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.6219546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under43c2,723$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.1123538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21086653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c1,536$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.375,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over57c1,361$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.86,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over57c1,358$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.2123758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under42c1,217$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.6241149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over57c1,139$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.871,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c1,054$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.974,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c999.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.499,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over56c975$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.756855.9%38 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under42c936.81$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.354,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under71c899.41$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.262,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under45c867$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.853,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under45c865$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.751,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c717.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.058,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over57c647.59$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Under42c642.86$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8613759.1%81 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over57c626.9$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.331,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Under43c578.16$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.551643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under43c539.47$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.52227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Over58c511.62$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2958733.3%29 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under43c503.52$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.843,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under44c454$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2411662.9%73 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c425.09$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under43c332.33$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.439339.8%37 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56a4…30a3backed Over54c320$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8599447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over17c296.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.782,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over58c275.86$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under43c273.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6610438.5%40 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under42c252.37$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3759549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over14c231.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.438,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa947…1859backed Under43c199.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under64c176.43$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.235,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Under49c163.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.479751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over18c160$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c135$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.58,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under32c129$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.729855.1%54 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over49c118$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.825,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over39c101.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.136,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5484651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under42c98.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.327351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Under48c91.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6731250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under46c88.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9735849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a6…7442backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Over29c86.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9911149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over28c81.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8526752.8%141 W · 126 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Over28c81.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.859455.3%52 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over53c74.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2824651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Under42c67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.868245.1%37 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over27c63.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.264,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Over58c61.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.613461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over22c50.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.517953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Under42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x73c7…1ad3backed Over58c45.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over28c40.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4222154.3%120 W · 101 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under42c40.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2277836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2214753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under45c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.532,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c34.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Under43c33.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over51c27.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.811,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under42c26.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under43c24.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0722151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under49c24.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.531,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under53c24.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3883053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b8…3fc9backed Under50c23.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3136…3544backed Over59c23.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d4…a31ebacked Over57c22.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over58c20.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232054.1%173 W · 147 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over59c20.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.951,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed Over59c19.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.481136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab5…da6bbacked Under60c18.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.382548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.551656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.