MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a2a5cff8c2a226a13ea4dc8a956a9521b488f5068927c4bb971a30279996996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 64,762$33,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,733.17 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 64,736$32,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,368.05 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 23,922$11,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,721.74 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 50c | 14,628$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 49c | 12,005$5,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,882.58 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 10,400$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.98 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 9,363$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,681.64 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 6,401$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.43 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 6,172$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.12 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 5,104$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.58 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 4,956$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.22 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 53c | 4,915$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.95 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 2,214$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…30a3backed Over | 46c | 1,970$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 44c | 1,871$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.38 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 54c | 1,485$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.54 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,421$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.15 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 40c | 999.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.71 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 571.04$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 526.04$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.76 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 54c | 295.18$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 274$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 51c | 239$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 195.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 192.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 179.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 49c | 166.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 50c | 159.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 72c | 151.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 52c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 149.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 40c | 122.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…7b22backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 115.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 108.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under | 51c | 100.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 51c | 92.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 51c | 92.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 90.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 20c | 87.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 21c | 86.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…4a05backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 44c | 77.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 50c | 66.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 64.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 60.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Over | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 41c | 48.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…1ad3backed Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 40.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 51c | 36.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…e59dbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…30febacked Over | 46c | 28.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 51c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Under | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…14edbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…918fbacked Over | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Under | 56c | 22.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…7b57backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.