TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under51c64,762$33,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,733.1744446.8%208 W · 236 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c64,736$32,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,368.0541149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00088349.3%435 W · 448 L-4.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c23,922$11,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,721.741,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over50c14,628$7,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,31411656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over49c12,005$5,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,882.5835854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c10,400$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20092554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9835643.5%155 W · 201 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c9,363$4,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.644,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c6,401$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.4312,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c6,172$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.1211,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c5,104$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.582,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c4,956$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.224,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under53c4,915$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31019546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4705,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over49c2,900$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.953,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c2,214$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.824,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9744749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a4…30a3backed Over46c1,970$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.91741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over44c1,871$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.3825249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1576558%444 W · 321 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under54c1,485$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.543,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,421$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.156,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over40c999.28$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7171044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40066250.2%332 W · 330 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c571.04$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.849,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under51c526.04$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7661450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.82,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19659150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under54c295.18$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7899947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Over50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c274$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.262,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under51c239$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.111,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c195.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.721,92817.2%331 W · 1,597 L-320.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c192.68$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.118,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over44c179.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7926438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over49c166.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4621550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over50c159.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9643560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Under51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8616844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under72c151.3$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.734,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under52c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7535849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under55c149.68$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.838,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Under57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3566551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Under51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2567449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over40c122.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.165,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…7b22backed Under51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-59.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c115.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.422,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over26c108.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.131,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under51c100.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.193545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a6…7442backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under51c92.27$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2136250.3%182 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under51c92.27$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2129354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under66c90.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.555,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over20c87.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.38,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over21c86.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.192,17239.9%866 W · 1,306 L+1.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over44c77.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2541141.4%170 W · 241 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over50c66.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0819954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over41c64.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.336,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under53c60.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.592,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…2de1backed Over46c52.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.517953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0252947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over41c48.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.867653.1%359 W · 317 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c7…1ad3backed Over51c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.962,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.814753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under51c36.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8329647.3%140 W · 156 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bac…e59dbacked Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4144345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Over51c28.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.713461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…30febacked Over46c28.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Under51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4589950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under51c27.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3522151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.259359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed Under54c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.631968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa97c…14edbacked Over49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127047.1%33 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f4…918fbacked Over46c23.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Under56c22.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.097440.5%30 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over50c20.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…7b57backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1039250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.